Pacific salmon populations have discrete breeding cycles in which they return from the ocean to streams to reproduce and then die. This occurs every one to five years, depending on the species. (a) Suppose that each fish must first survive predation by bears while swimming upstream, and predation occurs with probability d. After swimming upstream, each fish produces b offspring before dying. The stream is then stocked with m additional newly hatched fish before all fish then swim out to sea. What is the discrete-time recursion for the population dynamics, assuming that there is no mortality while at sea? You should count the population immediately before the upstream journey. nt + 1 = (b) Suppose that, instead of preying on fish while they swim upstream, bears do so only while the fish are swimming downstream. What is the discrete-time recursion for the population dynamics? (Again assume there is no mortality while at sea.) nt+1 = (c) Which of the recursions obtained in parts (a) and (b) predicts the largest increase in population size from one year to the next? O recursion formula from part (a) O recursion formula from part (b)

Algebra & Trigonometry with Analytic Geometry
13th Edition
ISBN:9781133382119
Author:Swokowski
Publisher:Swokowski
Chapter10: Sequences, Series, And Probability
Section10.8: Probability
Problem 31E
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Pacific salmon populations have discrete breeding cycles in which they return from the ocean to streams to reproduce and then die. This
occurs every one to five years, depending on the species.
(a) Suppose that each fish must first survive predation by bears while swimming upstream, and predation occurs with probability
d. After swimming upstream, each fish produces b offspring before dying. The stream is then stocked with m additional newly
hatched fish before all fish then swim out to sea. What is the discrete-time recursion for the population dynamics, assuming that
there is no mortality while at sea? You should count the population immediately before the upstream journey.
nt + 1 =
(b) Suppose that, instead of preying on fish while they swim upstream, bears do so only while the fish are swimming downstream.
What is the discrete-time recursion for the population dynamics? (Again assume there is no mortality while at sea.)
nt+1 =
(c) Which of the recursions obtained in parts (a) and (b) predicts the largest increase in population size from one year to the next?
O recursion formula from part (a)
Orecursion formula from part (b)
Justify your answer both mathematically and in terms of the underlying biology. You can assume that 0 < d < 1 and b > 0.
Transcribed Image Text:Pacific salmon populations have discrete breeding cycles in which they return from the ocean to streams to reproduce and then die. This occurs every one to five years, depending on the species. (a) Suppose that each fish must first survive predation by bears while swimming upstream, and predation occurs with probability d. After swimming upstream, each fish produces b offspring before dying. The stream is then stocked with m additional newly hatched fish before all fish then swim out to sea. What is the discrete-time recursion for the population dynamics, assuming that there is no mortality while at sea? You should count the population immediately before the upstream journey. nt + 1 = (b) Suppose that, instead of preying on fish while they swim upstream, bears do so only while the fish are swimming downstream. What is the discrete-time recursion for the population dynamics? (Again assume there is no mortality while at sea.) nt+1 = (c) Which of the recursions obtained in parts (a) and (b) predicts the largest increase in population size from one year to the next? O recursion formula from part (a) Orecursion formula from part (b) Justify your answer both mathematically and in terms of the underlying biology. You can assume that 0 < d < 1 and b > 0.
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