st year are 15.4 million if your Belgian subsidiary survives and 1.2 million if the local government intervenes. They are 14.7 million if the subsidiary survives in year 2 and 1.9 million if the government intervenes. The subsidiary shuts down after year 2; there are no further cash flows. You think there is a 35.8% chance of government intervention in year 1 and a 47.6% chance of government intervention in year 2. The discount rate is 4.4% p.a. What is the project’s NPV? a. 14.9515 million b. 6.4251 million c. 0.4115 million d. 5.0405 million e. 9.4995 million
st year are 15.4 million if your Belgian subsidiary survives and 1.2 million if the local government intervenes. They are 14.7 million if the subsidiary survives in year 2 and 1.9 million if the government intervenes. The subsidiary shuts down after year 2; there are no further cash flows. You think there is a 35.8% chance of government intervention in year 1 and a 47.6% chance of government intervention in year 2. The discount rate is 4.4% p.a. What is the project’s NPV? a. 14.9515 million b. 6.4251 million c. 0.4115 million d. 5.0405 million e. 9.4995 million
Chapter16: Country Risk Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 5ST
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Question
You are a dog toy producer that wants to establish a subsidiary in the small European country of Belgium. However, you have heard that the new prime minister is a cat lover and may shut down (part of) your operations. Therefore, you expect to be present in Belgium two years at most, after which you will move your subsidiary elsewhere.
The expected cash flows for the first year are 15.4 million if your Belgian subsidiary survives and 1.2 million if the local government intervenes. They are 14.7 million if the subsidiary survives in year 2 and 1.9 million if the government intervenes.
The subsidiary shuts down after year 2; there are no further cash flows. You think there is a 35.8% chance of government intervention in year 1 and a 47.6% chance of government intervention in year 2. The discount rate is 4.4% p.a.
What is the project’s NPV?
a.
14.9515 million
b.
6.4251 million
c.
0.4115 million
d.
5.0405 million
e.
9.4995 million
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