Suppose that 16% of crimes of this type end up in a criminal charge. This district has a false conviction rate of 5% and fail to charge at a rate of 10%. If a randomly chosen suspect is charged, what is the chance that the suspect actually committed the crime? Use what you have learned in this chapter to help answer the following questions about the district's crime rates.

Holt Mcdougal Larson Pre-algebra: Student Edition 2012
1st Edition
ISBN:9780547587776
Author:HOLT MCDOUGAL
Publisher:HOLT MCDOUGAL
Chapter11: Data Analysis And Probability
Section11.8: Probabilities Of Disjoint And Overlapping Events
Problem 2C
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Suppose that 16% of crimes of this type end up in a criminal charge. This district has a false conviction rate of 5% and fail to charge at a rate of 10%. If a randomly chosen suspect is charged, what is the chance that the suspect actually committed the crime? Use what you have learned in this chapter to help answer the following questions about the district's crime rates. 

Expert Solution
Step 1

Let A denote the event that a person is convicted

Let B denote the event that a person committed the crime

Given that:

PAB=0.16PAB'=0.05PA'B=0.1

So,

 PA=PAB+PAB'=0.16+0.05=0.21

 

 

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