Suppose that an Enigma machine operator makes a mistake on one of every 80 letters transmitted on average independently of their mistakes on other letters. Today they have sent a 135-letter message. (a) Calculate the precise probability that the operator made a mistake on either 1 or 2 of the letters in this message. (b) Approximate the probability in (a) using the Poisson distribution. Do you think this approximation is a good one? Why?
Suppose that an Enigma machine operator makes a mistake on one of every 80 letters transmitted on average independently of their mistakes on other letters. Today they have sent a 135-letter message. (a) Calculate the precise probability that the operator made a mistake on either 1 or 2 of the letters in this message. (b) Approximate the probability in (a) using the Poisson distribution. Do you think this approximation is a good one? Why?
Chapter8: Sequences, Series,and Probability
Section8.7: Probability
Problem 11ECP: A manufacturer has determined that a machine averages one faulty unit for every 500 it produces....
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Suppose that an Enigma machine operator makes a mistake on one of every 80 letters transmitted on average independently of their mistakes on other letters. Today they have sent a 135-letter message.
(a) Calculate the precise
(b) Approximate the probability in (a) using the Poisson distribution. Do you think this approximation is a good one? Why?
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