Suppose the interest rate on a 3-year Treasury Note is 2.25%, and 5-year Notes are yielding 4.00%. Based on the expectations theory, what does the market believe that 2-year Treasuries will be yielding 3 years from now?

Suppose the interest rate on a 3-year Treasury Note is 2.25%, and 5-year Notes are yielding 4.00%. Based on the expectations theory, what does the market believe that 2-year Treasuries will be yielding 3 years from now?

Intermediate Financial Management (MindTap Course List)

13th Edition

ISBN:9781337395083

Author:Eugene F. Brigham, Phillip R. Daves

Publisher:Eugene F. Brigham, Phillip R. Daves

Chapter4: Bond Valuation

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 18P

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Concept explainers

Treasury Market

On-the-run securities are the most recently issued securities in the market depth and are therefore traded at some premium. The off-the-run securities are the ones issued just before the most recent ones. The on-the-run securities have a lower yield to the investor than the off-the-run securities.

Question

Suppose the interest rate on a 3-year Treasury Note is 2.25%, and 5-year Notes are
yielding 4.00%.
Based on the expectations theory, what does the market believe that 2-year
Treasuries will be yielding 3 years from now?

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