Suppose you are a British venture capitalist holding a major stake in an e-commerce start-up in Silicon Valley. As a British resident, you are concerned with the pound value of your U.S. equity position. Assume that if the American economy booms in the future, your equity stake will be worth $946, and the exchange rate will be $1.34/£. If the American economy experiences a recession, on the other hand, your American equity stake will be worth $768, and the exchange rate will be $1.39/£. You assess that the American economy will experience a boom with a 80 percent probability and a recession with the remaining probability. Estimate the expected value of the spot rate (in £ X.XXXX)
Suppose you are a British venture capitalist holding a major stake in an e-commerce start-up in Silicon Valley. As a British resident, you are concerned with the pound value of your U.S. equity position. Assume that if the American economy booms in the future, your equity stake will be worth $946, and the exchange rate will be $1.34/£. If the American economy experiences a recession, on the other hand, your American equity stake will be worth $768, and the exchange rate will be $1.39/£. You assess that the American economy will experience a boom with a 80 percent probability and a recession with the remaining probability. Estimate the expected value of the spot rate (in £ X.XXXX)
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