SURVIVAL OF THE SPOTTED OWLS Using actual field data from demographic studies, R. Lamberson and co- workers considered the following stage-matrix model:? jk+1 .33 jk Sk+1 .18 Sk Ak+1 .71 .94 Ak • Here the number of new juvenile females in year k + 1 is .33 times the number of adult females in year k (based on the average birth rate per owl pair). • Also, 18% of the juveniles survive to become subadults, and 71% of the subadults and 94% of the adults survive to be counted as adults. • The stage-matrix model is a difference equation of the form xx+1 = Axg-

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SURVIVAL OF THE SPOTTED OWLS
Using actual field data from demographic studies, R. Lamberson and co-
workers considered the following stage-matrix model:2
jk+1
.33
Jk
Sk+1
.18
Sk
Ak+1
.71
.94
Ak
• Here the number of new juvenile females in year k +1 is .33 times the number of adult
females in year k (based on the average birth rate per owl pair).
• Also, 18% of the juveniles survive to become subadults,
• and 71% of the subadults and 94% of the adults survive to be counted as adults.
• The stage-matrix model is a difference equation of the form x+1
Axg.
%D
Transcribed Image Text:SURVIVAL OF THE SPOTTED OWLS Using actual field data from demographic studies, R. Lamberson and co- workers considered the following stage-matrix model:2 jk+1 .33 Jk Sk+1 .18 Sk Ak+1 .71 .94 Ak • Here the number of new juvenile females in year k +1 is .33 times the number of adult females in year k (based on the average birth rate per owl pair). • Also, 18% of the juveniles survive to become subadults, • and 71% of the subadults and 94% of the adults survive to be counted as adults. • The stage-matrix model is a difference equation of the form x+1 Axg. %D
Suppose the search survival rate of the juvenile owls is 50%, so the (2,
1) - entry in the stage-matrix A in (10) is .30 instead of .18. What does
the stage-matrix model predict about this spotted owl population?
Transcribed Image Text:Suppose the search survival rate of the juvenile owls is 50%, so the (2, 1) - entry in the stage-matrix A in (10) is .30 instead of .18. What does the stage-matrix model predict about this spotted owl population?
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