The following payoff table shows profit for a decision analysis problem with two decision alternatives and three states of nature: State of Nature Decision Alternative S1 S2 S3 di 250 100 100 dz 200 100 150 The probabilities for the states of nature are P(s1) = 0.45, P(s2) = 0.25, and P(s3) = 0.3. (a) What is the optimal decision strategy if perfect information were available? Si : - Select your answer - S2 : - Select your answer S3 : Select your answer - (b) What is the expected value for the decision strategy developed in part (a)? If required, round your answer to one decimal place. (c) Using the expected value approach, what is the recommended decision without perfect information? - Select your answer - v What is its expected value? If required, round your answer to one decimal place. (d) What is the expected value of perfect information? If required, round your answer to one decimal place.

College Algebra
7th Edition
ISBN:9781305115545
Author:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem Watson
Publisher:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem Watson
Chapter9: Counting And Probability
Section9.4: Expected Value
Problem 1E: If a game gives payoffs of $10 and $100 with probabilities 0.9 and 0.1, respectively, then the...
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The following payoff table shows profit for a decision analysis problem with two decision alternatives and three states of nature:
State of Nature
Decision Alternative S1
S2 S3
di
250 100 100
d2
200 100 150
The probabilities for the states of nature are P(s1) = 0.45, P(s2) = 0.25, and P(53) = 0.3.
(a) What is the optimal decision strategy if perfect information were available?
S1 : - Select your answer - V
S2
Select your answer -
S3 : - Select your answer - V
(b) What is the expected value for the decision strategy developed in part (a)? If required, round your answer to one decimal place.
(c) Using the expected value approach, what is the recommended decision without perfect information?
- Select your answer - v
What is its expected value? If required, round your answer to one decimal place.
(d) What is the expected value of perfect information? If required, round your answer to one decimal place.
Transcribed Image Text:The following payoff table shows profit for a decision analysis problem with two decision alternatives and three states of nature: State of Nature Decision Alternative S1 S2 S3 di 250 100 100 d2 200 100 150 The probabilities for the states of nature are P(s1) = 0.45, P(s2) = 0.25, and P(53) = 0.3. (a) What is the optimal decision strategy if perfect information were available? S1 : - Select your answer - V S2 Select your answer - S3 : - Select your answer - V (b) What is the expected value for the decision strategy developed in part (a)? If required, round your answer to one decimal place. (c) Using the expected value approach, what is the recommended decision without perfect information? - Select your answer - v What is its expected value? If required, round your answer to one decimal place. (d) What is the expected value of perfect information? If required, round your answer to one decimal place.
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