The forecasts generated by two forecasting methods and actual sales have been collected in the Microsoft Excel Online file below. Use the Microsoft Excel Online file below to develop forecast accuracy and answer the following question.  Forecast Accuracy Measures           Forecast 1           Period Sales Forecast Error Absolute Error Error^2 Abs. % Error 1 271 276       2 285 263       3 290 286       4 276 288       5 266 269       6 268 267       7 265 261       8 270 268                   Total                       Average                 RSFE MAD MSE MAPE                     Tracking Signal   1. What is the MAD, the MSE, the MAPE, the RSFE, and the tracking signal for each forecasting method? Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to two decimal places. Use the minus sign to enter negative values, if any. 2. What can be concluded about the quality of the forecasts 1? Assume that the control limit for the tracking signal is ±3. The results indicate (bias or no bias) in the forecasts 1, and that the tracking signal (is not or is) within the control limits of ±3

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models
Section13.7: Exponential Smoothing Models
Problem 29P: The file P13_29.xlsx contains monthly time series data for total U.S. retail sales of building...
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The forecasts generated by two forecasting methods and actual sales have been collected in the Microsoft Excel Online file below. Use the Microsoft Excel Online file below to develop forecast accuracy and answer the following question. 

Forecast Accuracy Measures          
Forecast 1          
Period Sales Forecast Error Absolute Error Error^2 Abs. % Error
1 271 276      
2 285 263      
3 290 286      
4 276 288      
5 266 269      
6 268 267      
7 265 261      
8 270 268      
           
Total          
           
Average          
      RSFE MAD MSE MAPE
           
        Tracking Signal  

1. What is the MAD, the MSE, the MAPE, the RSFE, and the tracking signal for each forecasting method? Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to two decimal places. Use the minus sign to enter negative values, if any.

2. What can be concluded about the quality of the forecasts 1? Assume that the control limit for the tracking signal is ±3. The results indicate (bias or no bias) in the forecasts 1, and that the tracking signal (is not or is) within the control limits of ±3.

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