The lifetime of a bulb is modeled as a Poisson variable. You have two bulbs types A and B with expected lifetime 0.25 years and 0.5 years, respectively. When a bulb's life ends, it stops working. You start with new bulb of type A at the start of the year. When it stops working, you replace it with a bulb of type B. When it breaks, you replace with a type A bulb, then a type B bulb, and so on. 1. Find the expected total illumination time (in years), given you do exactly 3 bulb replacements. 2. Your replacements are now probabilistic. If your current bulb breaks, you replace it with a bulb of type A with probability p, and with type B with probability (1 – p). Find the expected total illumination time (in years), given you do exactly n bulb replacements, and start with bulb of type A. Answer for part 2 exists in closed form in terms of n and p.

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The lifetime of a bulb is modeled as a Poisson variable. You have two bulbs types
A and B with expected lifetime 0.25 years and 0.5 years, respectively. When a
bulb's life ends, it stops working. You start with new bulb of type A at the start of
the year. When it stops working, you replace it with a bulb of type B. When it
breaks, you replace with a type A bulb, then a type B bulb, and so on.
1. Find the expected total illumination time (in years), given you do exactly 3
bulb replacements.
2. Your replacements are now probabilistic. If your current bulb breaks, you
replace it with a bulb of type A with probability p, and with type B with
probability (1 - p). Find the expected total illumination time (in years),
given you do exactly n bulb replacements, and start with bulb of type A.
Answer for part 2 exists in closed form in terms of n and p.
Transcribed Image Text:The lifetime of a bulb is modeled as a Poisson variable. You have two bulbs types A and B with expected lifetime 0.25 years and 0.5 years, respectively. When a bulb's life ends, it stops working. You start with new bulb of type A at the start of the year. When it stops working, you replace it with a bulb of type B. When it breaks, you replace with a type A bulb, then a type B bulb, and so on. 1. Find the expected total illumination time (in years), given you do exactly 3 bulb replacements. 2. Your replacements are now probabilistic. If your current bulb breaks, you replace it with a bulb of type A with probability p, and with type B with probability (1 - p). Find the expected total illumination time (in years), given you do exactly n bulb replacements, and start with bulb of type A. Answer for part 2 exists in closed form in terms of n and p.
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