The table below shows the results of using X-ray imaging as a diagnostic test for tuberculosis in patients with known TB status. Use it to answer the questions below. Test for TB TB absent TB present Negative 1739 8 Positive 51 22

Glencoe Algebra 1, Student Edition, 9780079039897, 0079039898, 2018
18th Edition
ISBN:9780079039897
Author:Carter
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Chapter10: Statistics
Section10.1: Measures Of Center
Problem 9PPS
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The table below shows the results of using X-ray imaging as a diagnostic test for tuberculosis in patients
with known TB status. Use it to answer the questions below.
Test for TB
TB absent
TB present
Negative
1739
8
Positive
51
22
Use this table to calculate the sensitivity and specificity of the test. Suppose that you have the
knowledge that the prevalence of TB in a population is P(D) = 0.001, use the previously calculated
sensitivity and specificity to answer the following questions about testing a patient from the population
(not those used in the study in the table.)
1. Using the law of total probability, calculate P(Pos), the probability that a randomly chosen person
from the population tests positive for the disease and P(Neg), the probability that a randomly chosen
person tests negative for the disease.
2. Using Bayes' formula, find the probability that a patient who tested positive has the disease P(D||
Pos) and the probability that a patient who tested negative is healthy P(H| Neg).
3. If the disease prevalence were P(D) =0.5, repeat the calculations to find the new P(D | Pos) and P(H|
Neg).
Transcribed Image Text:The table below shows the results of using X-ray imaging as a diagnostic test for tuberculosis in patients with known TB status. Use it to answer the questions below. Test for TB TB absent TB present Negative 1739 8 Positive 51 22 Use this table to calculate the sensitivity and specificity of the test. Suppose that you have the knowledge that the prevalence of TB in a population is P(D) = 0.001, use the previously calculated sensitivity and specificity to answer the following questions about testing a patient from the population (not those used in the study in the table.) 1. Using the law of total probability, calculate P(Pos), the probability that a randomly chosen person from the population tests positive for the disease and P(Neg), the probability that a randomly chosen person tests negative for the disease. 2. Using Bayes' formula, find the probability that a patient who tested positive has the disease P(D|| Pos) and the probability that a patient who tested negative is healthy P(H| Neg). 3. If the disease prevalence were P(D) =0.5, repeat the calculations to find the new P(D | Pos) and P(H| Neg).
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