There is a 30% chance that you are correct that your hypothesis that opening a new store will be profitable. The expected cost of opening a new store that would flop is $500,000 while the not opening the store when it would succeed has an expected cost of $700,000.
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There is a 30% chance that you are correct that your hypothesis that opening a new store will be profitable. The expected cost of opening a new store that would flop is $500,000 while the not opening the store when it would succeed has an expected cost of $700,000.
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- A mini-mart needs a new freezer and the initial Investment will cost $300,000. Incremental revenues, including cost savings, are $200,000, and incremental expenses, including depreciation, are $125,000. There is no salvage value. What is the accounting rate of return (ARR)?At Stardust Gems, a faux gem and jewelry company, the setting department is a bottleneck. The company is considering hiring an extra worker, whose salary will be $67,000 per year, to ease the problem. Using the extra worker, the company will be able to produce and sell 9,000 more units per year. The selling price per unit is $20. The cost per unit currently is $15.85 as shown: What is the annual financial impact of hiring the extra worker for the bottleneck process?Hemmingway, Inc. is considering a $5 million research and development (R&D) project. Profit projections appear promising, but Hemmingway’s president is concerned because the probability that the R&D project will be successful is only 0.50. Furthermore, the president knows that even if the project is successful, it will require that the company build a new production facility at a cost of $20 million in order to manufacture the product. If the facility is built, uncertainty remains about the demand and thus uncertainty about the profit that will be realized. Another option is that if the R&D project is successful, the company could sell the rights to the product for an estimated $25 million. Under this option, the company would not build the $20 million production facility. The decision tree follows. The profit projection for each outcome is shown at the end of the branches. For example, the revenue projection for the high demand outcome is $59 million. However, the cost of the R&D project ($5 million) and the cost of the production facility ($20 million) show the profit of this outcome to be $59 – $5 – $20 = $34 million. Branch probabilities are also shown for the chance events. Analyze the decision tree to determine whether the company should undertake the R&D project. If it does, and if the R&D project is successful, what should the company do? What is the expected value of your strategy? What must the selling price be for the company to consider selling the rights to the product? Develop a risk profile for the optimal strategy.
- Garrison Boutique, a small novelty store, just spent $4,000 on a new software program that will help in organizing its inventory. Due to the steep learning curve required to use the new software, Garrison must decide between hiring two part-time college students or one full-time employee. Each college student would work 20 hours per week, and would earn $1 S per hour. The full-time employee would work 40 hours per week and would earn $15 per hour plus the equivalent of $2 per hour in benefits. Employees are given two polo shirts to wear as their uniform. The polo-shirts cost Garrison $10 each. What are the relevant costs, relevant revenues, sunk costs, and opportunity costs for Garrison?Hudson Corporation is considering three options for managing its data warehouse: continuing with its own staff, hiring an outside vendor to do the managing, or using a combination of its own staff and an outside vendor. The cost of the operation depends on future demand. The annual cost of each option (in thousands of dollars) depends on demand as follows: If the demand probabilities are 0.2, 0.5, and 0.3, which decision alternative will minimize the expected cost of the data warehouse? What is the expected annual cost associated with that recommendation? Construct a risk profile for the optimal decision in part (a). What is the probability of the cost exceeding $700,000?A manager is trying to decide whether to buy one machine or two. If only one machine is purchased and demand proves to be excessive, the second machine can be purchased later. Some sales would be lost, however, because the lead time for delivery of this type of machine is 6 months. In addition, the cost per machine will be lower if both machines are purchased at the same time. The probability of low demand is estimated to be 0.30 and that of high demand to be 0.70. The after-tax NPV of the benefits from purchasing two machines together is $90,000 if demand is low and $170,000 if demand is high. If one machine is purchased and demand is low, the NPV is $120,000. If demand is high, the manager has three options: (1) doing nothing, which has an NPV of $120,000; (2) subcontracting, with an NPV of $140,000; and (3) buying the second machine, with an NPV of $130,000. a. Draw a decision tree for this problem. b. What is the best decision and what is its expected payoff?
- A manager is trying to decide whether to buy one machine or two. If only one machine is purchased and demand proves to be excessive, the second machine can be purchased later. Some sales would be lost, however, because the lead time for delivery of this type of machine is six months. In addition, the cost per machine will be lower if both machines are purchased at the same time. The probability of low demand is estimated to be 0.20 and that of high demand to be 0.80. The after-tax NPV of the benefits from purchasing two machines together is $70,000 if demand is low and $170,000 if demand is high. If one machine is purchased and demand is low, the NPV is $100,000. If demand is high, the manager has three options: (1) doing nothing, which has an NPV of $100,000; (2) subcontracting, with an NPV of $140,000; and (3) buying the second machine, with an NPV of $120,000. What is the best decision and what is its expected payoff? Best decision is to buy nothing…You are currently a worker earning $60,000 per year but are considering becoming an entrepreneur. You will not switch unless you earn an accounting profit that is on average at least as great as your current salary. You look into opening a small grocery store. Suppose that the store has annual costs of $150,000 for labor, $50,000 for rent, and $30,000 for equipment. There is a one-half probability that revenues will be $210,000 and a one-half probability that revenues will be $400,000. Instructions: Enter your answers as a whole number. If you are entering any negative numbers be sure to include a negative sign (−) in front of those numbers. Enter a loss as a negative number. a. In the low-revenue situation, what will your accounting profit or loss be? $ What will your accounting profit or loss be in the high-revenue situation? $ b. On average, how much do you expect your revenue to be? $ Your accounting profit? $ Your economic profit? $…The owner of a small printing company is considering the purchase of additional printing equipment to expand her business. If the owner expands the business and sales are high, projected profits (minus the cost of the equipment) should be $90,000; if sales are low, projected profits should be $40,000. If the equipment is not purchased, projected profits should be $70,000 if sales are high and $50,000 if sales are low. Consider Decision Tree Analysis If the owner is optimistic about the company's future sales, should the company expand by purchasing the equipment? Is the owner's optimism or pessimism about sales the only factor that may impact the company's profits?
- Rose Apothecary is considering expanding its business to include a second store. David Rose, the CEO, believes that a marketing study would help to determine the overall demand for the store. Part A: Without the marketing study, the company estimates that there will be an up-front cost of $100,000 to get the new store up and running. The expectation is that there is a 50% chance that the store will generate annual cash flows of $48,000 per year for the subsequent four years and a 50% chance that the store will generate annual cash flows of $22,000 per year for the subsequent four years. What is the NPV of the store expansion project, assuming a 15% cost of capital?Gidget has a new widget to bring to market. If the firm goes directly to market with the product, there is a 60% chance of success. However, the firm can conduct customer segment research, which will take a year and cost $5,000,000. By going through research, the company can better target potential customers and increase the probability of success to 75%. If successful, the widget will bring a present value profit (at the time of initial selling) of $90 million. If unsuccessful, the present value profit is only $15 million. The appropriate discount rate is 10%. Calculate the NPV for conducting customer segment research. (Enter whole numbers, e.g. 5 million should be 5,000,000)Ashley’s company is looking to add two new printers that will increase fixed costs by $75,000. The variable costs are $50 per order. The two new printers allow the business to increase their orders by 5000 annually. How many orders would have to be added to justify buying these new printers, vs not making any changes and continuing as they are? What other considerations might you consider in whether or not to make this purchase or not?