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- Suppose Angola is experiencing an episode of hyperinflation. The currency in Angola is the second kwanza (which is actually the fourth currency called kwanza that has circulated since 1977). The currency code is (AOA). Select all choices below that are implied by the statement if parity conditions (PPP, IRP, FEP) hold: Nominal interest rates in Angola will exceed nominal interest rates in countries not experiencing hyperinflation. The value of the AOA is expected to drop to zero. Real interest rates in Angola will fall relative to countries without hyperinflation. The AOA is expected to depreciate against any currencies that are not experiencing hyperinflation.Turkey experienced hyperinflation in the late 1990s and early 2000s. The exchange rate for the Turkish lira was TRL650,000=$1 on January 1, 2001. In 2001, inflation in Turkey was 140%, while in the USA was only 2.5%. This led the Central Bank of Turkey to implement a mini-devaluation policy at the monthly rate of 7.5%. What was the official exchange rate on December 31, 2001? Was the Turkish lira properly valued? (Hint: Pay attention to the monthly devaluation process)If the nominal exchange rate e is foreign currency per dollar, the domestic price is P, and the foreign price is P*, then the real exchange rate is defined as e(P/P*). Select one: True False
- Relative inflation rates affect interest rates, exchange rates, the overall economic health of a country, and the operations and profitability of multinational companies. Consider the following statement: Countries with lower inflation rates will have lower interest rates. If companies borrow from countries with low interest rates, the potential gains from the interest savings will likely be (multiplied or offset) by the losses from currency appreciation.In the last 4 years, the exchange rate Pound to Euro depreciated (decreased) to an average of 1.13 (from 1.30 before 2016). When citizens from the UK would go on holidays in a Euro zone country (e.g. Spain), would a lower exchange rate of 1.13(Sterling Pound to Euro) instead of an exchange rate of 1.30 (Pound to Euro) be of advantage or disadvantage for British tourists in Europe? Explain.An analyst argues that exchange rate movements depend on interest rate differentials (that is, the International Fisher effect), country-specific economic policy uncertainty measures and country-specific GDP growth rates. With this in mind, the analyst estimates the following model: Expected rate of appreciation of yen against the dollar(%)= =0.5[idollar(%) – iyen(%)]+0.5[idollar(%) – iyen(%)]2+0.2[σUS(%) – σJAP(%)]+ +0.2[σUS(%) – σJAP(%)]2+0.1[GDPJAP(%) – GDPUS(%)]. In this model, idollar(%) is the one-year interest rate in the US, iyen(%) is the one-year interest rate in Japan, σUS(%) refers to economic policy uncertainty in the US, σJAP(%) refers to economic policy uncertainty in Japan, GDPUS(%) refers to annual GDP growth in the US and GDPJAP(%) refers to annual GDP growth in Japan. Assume idollar=6%, iyen=4%, σUS=5%, σJAP=1%, GDPUS=2% and GDPJAP=1%. Calculate the expected rate of appreciation of the yen against the dollar
- At the start of 1996, the annual interest rate was 8 percent in the United States and 4.8 percent in Japan. The exchange rate was 110 yen per dollar at the time. Mr. Jorus, who is the manager of a Bermuda-based hedge fund, thought that the substantial interest advantage associated with investing in the United States relative to investing in Japan was not likely to be offset by the decline of the dollar against the yen. He thus concluded that it might be a good idea to borrow in Japan and invest in the United States. At the start of 1996, in fact, he borrowed ¥1,000 million for one year and invested in the United States. At the end of 1996, the exchange rate became 120 yen per dollar. How much profit did Mr. Jorus make in dollar terms?Suppose the current spot exchange rate for the Chinese yuan is USD 0.15 per CNY. If the domestic prices of traded goods rise 70% over the next 10 years in China and 20% over the same period in the United States, then, according to the relative purchasing power parity hypothesis, the spot exchange rate for the yuan in 10 years will be approximately:Empirical studies find that exchange rates are much more variable than inflation differentials. How can we explain this empirical result?
- Empirical studies find that exchange rates are much more variable then inflation differentials. How can you explain this empirical result? Thanks.Relative inflation rates affect interest rates, exchange rates, the overall economic health of a country, and the operations and profitability of multinational companies. Consider the following statement: Countries with lower inflation rates will have lower interest rates. Based on your understanding of the relationship between relative inflation rates and exchange rates, identify whether the preceding statement is valid or invalid. The statement is invalid, because the nominal interest rate is independent of the inflation rate. The statement is valid, because the nominal interest rate is the sum of the real interest rate plus inflation, so lower inflation rates would result in lower interest rates.Many developing countries, like Mexico, have moderate to high rates of inflation. At the same time, international trade plays an important role in their economies. What type of exchange rate regime would be best for such a country’s currency vis à vis the U.S. dollar?