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Bob is playing 1/4 L + 3/4 R.
What is Ann's expected payoff of playing D?
Game
Bob
L R
Ann U 10,-1 0, 1
D 4, 1 8, -1
Step by step
Solved in 2 steps
- Choice under uncertainty. Consider a coin-toss game in which the player gets $30 if they win, and $5 if they lose. The probability of winning is 50%. (a) Alan is (just) willing to pay $15 to play this game. What is Alan’s attitude to risk? Show your work. (b) Assume a market with many identical Alans, who are all forced to pay $15 to play this coin-toss game. An insurer offers an insurance policy to protect the Alans from the risk. What would be the fair (zero profit) premium on this policy? can you help me for par (b) plase?Choice under uncertainty. Consider a coin-toss game in which the player gets $30 if they win, and $5 if they lose. The probability of winning is 50%. (a) Alan is (just) willing to pay $15 to play this game. What is Alan’s attitude to risk? Show your work.(b) Assume a market with many identical Alans, who are all forced to pay $15 to play this coin-toss game. An insurer offers an insurance policy to protect the Alans from the risk. What would be the fair (zero profit) premium on this policy? i need help with question B please.Consider the following variation to the Rock (R), Paper (P), Scissors (S) game:• Suppose that the Player 1 (row player) has a single type, Normal.• Player 2 (column player) has two types Normal and Simple.• A player of Normal type plays this zero-sum game as we studied in class whereas a player of type Simple always play P.• Player 2 knows whether he is Normal or Simple, but player 1does not.a) Suppose player 2 is of type Normal with probability 1/3 and of type Simple with probability (2/3). Find all pure strategy Bayesian Nash Equilibria.b) Suppose player 2 is of type Normal with probability 2/3 and of type Simple with probability (1/3). Find all pure strategy Bayesian Nash Equilibria.
- What is Ann's maximin strategy? Game Bob L RAnn U 10,-1 4, 4 D 4, 1 8, -1 Select one: a.none of the other answers b.4/7 U + 3/7 D c.2/5 U+ 3/5 D d.2/7 U + 5/7 D e.3/5 U + 2/5 DA strategy for player 1 is a value for x1 from the set X. Similarly, a strategyfor player 2 is a value for x2 from the set X. Player 1’s payoff is V1(x1, x2) =5 + x1 - 2x2 and player 2’s payoff is V2(x1, x2) = 5 + x2 - 2x1.a. Assume that X is the interval of real numbers from 1 to 4 (including 1and 4). (Note that this is much more than integers and includes such numbers as 2.648 and 1.00037). Derive all Nash equilibria.b. Now assume that the game is played infinitely often and a player’s payoff is the present value of his stream of single-period payoffs, where dis the discount factor.(i) Assume that X is composed of only two values: 2 and 3; thus, aplayer can choose 2 or 3, but no other value. Consider the followingsymmetric strategy profile: In period 1, a player chooses the value 2. In period t(≥2), a player chooses the value 2. In period a player chooses the value 2 if both players chose 2 in all previous periods; otherwise, she chooses the value 3. Derive conditions which ensure…1. What is the expected value of playing this game ? a. The player repeatedly rolls a six - side d die until it comes up 6. b. When the die comes up 6 , the player receives a payoff, and the game ends. The player get s precise ly one payof f. c. The initial payoff is $6, and it increases by 20%. The f irst roll payoff is $6 ; the second roll payoff is $7.20 (1.2*$6) ; the third roll payoff is $8.64 (1.2*$7.20), and so on. What is the expected value of playing this game?
- Roger's utility/u as a function of wealth/w is u = { ln w, w < 1600 w1/2, w >= 1600 Roger has $1000 and 3 options. 1. spend $400 to enter the game with probabilities of winning or losing: Win/(Lose) (500) 0 1000 3000 P(Win/(Lose)) 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.1 a. Show with workings which option roger would choose.please very very urgent Given the utility function, U(X)=ln(X) where X > 0, with initial consumption C=30000. Calculate the risk premium for a fair game with a chance of loosing -20000 is 0.5? (Hint: Start with the "fair game" definition)w= 7 To which strategy t2 is the strategy t1 = 4 a best response? (If your answer is afraction, report it in lowest terms.)
- You are evaluating the possibility that your company bids $150,000 for a particular construction job. (a) If a bid of $150,000 corresponds to a relative bid of 1.20, what is the dollar profit that your company would make from winning the job with this bid? Show your work. (b) Calculate an estimate of the expected profit of the bid of $150,000 for this job. Assume that, historically, 55 percent of the bids of an average bidder for this type of job would exceed the bid ratio of 1.20. Assume also that you are bidding against three other construction companies. Show your work.Jamal has a utility function U= W1/2 where Wis his wealth in millions of 'dollars and Uis the utility he obtains from that wealth. In the final stage of a game show, the host offers Jamal a choice between (A) $4 million for sure, or (B) a gamble that pays $1million with a probability of 0.6 and $9 million with a probability of 0.4. a. Graph Jamal's utility function. Is he risk-averse? Explain. b. Does A or B offer, Jamal, a higher expected price? Explain your reasoning with appropriate calculations. (Hint: The expected value of a random variable is the weighted average of the possible outcomes, where the probabilities are the weights.) c. Does A or B offer Jamal a higher expected utility? Again, show your calculations. d. Should Jamal pick A or B? Why?a Suppose you are given a choice between thefollowing options:A1: Win $30 for sureA2: 80% chance of winning $45 and 20% chance ofA2: winning nothing B1: 25% chance of winning $30B2: 20% chance of winning $45Most people prefer A1 to A2 and B2 to B1. Explainwhy this behavior violates the assumption that decisionmakers maximize expected utility.b Now suppose you play the following game: You havea 75% chance of winning nothing and a 25% chance ofplaying the second stage of the game. If you reach thesecond stage, you have a choice of two options (C1 andC2), but your choice must be made now, before youreach the second stage.C1: Win $30 for sureC2: 80% chance of winning $45 13.5 Bayes’ Rule and Decision Trees 767Most people choose C1 over C2 and B2 to B1 (from part(a)). Explain why this again violates the assumption ofexpected utility maximization. Tversky and Kahneman(1981) speculate that most people are attracted to thesure $30 in the second stage, even though the secondstage may never be…
