When to use of a time series forecasting technique, what assumptions are made?
Q: Explain the term “wrong” as it pertains to a good forecast?
A: In forecasting techniques, the word "wrong" refers to a difference between the real and forecasted…
Q: What are the use of a time series forecasting and what assumption are made ?
A: Globalization is the process of contact and connection between people, businesses, and governments…
Q: Identify the critical conditions and trade-offs to take into account when selecting forecasting…
A: When choosing the forecasting technology, the important considerations cost and accuracy are…
Q: Explain what benefits as a forecasting tool does exponential smoothing have over moving averages?
A: In today's environment, when events change frequently, the exponential smoothing method is superior.…
Q: Give three example of unethical conduct involving forecasting and the ethical principle each…
A: Deceptive conduct is an activity that falls outside of what is considered ethically right or…
Q: 12. Under the bottom-up approach, a central person or persons take the responsibility for…
A: The method of predicting future outcomes based on past and present data by analyzing the trends is…
Q: Contrast the reactive and proactive approaches to forecasting. Give several examples of types…
A: When one talks of proactive and reactive approaches to forecasting, it basically means that one has…
Q: Explain what are the forecasting process principles?
A: Forecasting is the science of forecasting what will occur in the future based on past and current…
Q: What are the basic assumptions made when using time series forecasting techniques as opposed to…
A: Stationarity: The first assumption is that the series of data points are stationary. The series is…
Q: Who needs to be involved in preparing forecasts?
A: The manager ultimately has the key responsibility to prepare the forecast. An organization should…
Q: Explain the forecasting term with the help of least squares ?
A: Least Squares Method The least squares technique is a type of mathematical regression analysis that…
Q: What forecasting methods should the company consider? Please justify.
A: Forecasting is a prediction method that can use historical data and current market trends and…
Q: Which qualitative forecasting technique was developed to ensure that the input from every…
A: Delphi method.
Q: Explain what are the benefits of exponential smoothing over moving average forecasting
A: The table below gives a prediction of the advantages of moving average over exponential smoothing.
Q: Explain the relationship between forecasting and quality management?
A: Total quality management (TQM) is a continual process of identifying and avoiding or eliminating…
Q: How do we measure accuracy of a forecasting model?
A: Step1:Forecasting models are tried and tested frameworks of historical data which helps in…
Q: Explain what forecasting techniques makes use of written surveys or telephone interviews
A: Operations management manages the internal operation. It starts with the procurement and ends with…
Q: What type of forecasting method would you recommend to a start-up retailer in terms of quantities,…
A: Demand forecasting is very important for any startup when you have an absence of resources and…
Q: What is forecast accuracy and what are the different methods to check it?
A: Forecast Accuracy is basically how accurately the predicted value matches the actual value. In…
Q: State the assumptions made when using a time series forecasting techniques
A: Numerous estimates are taken in statistical analysis.
Q: Explain what are some of the potential advantage of a more formalized approach to forecasting
A: Forecasting is a method of accurately anticipating future demand to plan for it. Manufacturing and…
Q: Selecting from MAD, MAPD, MSE, E, and , which measure of forecast accuracy do you consider superior?…
A: Forecast accuracy can be defined ad the deviation or the difference between the actual demand and…
Q: snip
A: The quantitative forecasting techniques require the past relevant data, the absence of this makes…
Q: Explain the distinction between short- and long-term forecasts?
A: Forecasting is a technique that enables the generation of educated forecasts by utilising historical…
Q: What are the main advantages that quantitative techniques for forecasting have over qualitative…
A: Forecasting is the process of estimating potential demands as well as the resources that will be…
Q: Forecasting time horizons include:a) long range. b) medium range.c) short range. d) all of the…
A: Forecasting refers to making decisions and predicting on the basis of previous or past experiences.
Q: Discuss the strategic importance of forecasting. What strategic decisions do organizations need to…
A: There is a huge competition between all the organizations these days to excel themselves in their…
Q: Which type of forecasting approach, qualitative or quantitative, is better?
A: Qualitative approach: It is the method used to forecast decisions on the basis of intuition,…
Q: Discuss the methods that are used to develop the forecasting methodology?
A: Forecasting is a continuous process that the business engages in both in the short and long term. It…
Q: Other factors to consider in selecting a forecasting technique
A: Forecasting is used to predict future changes or demand patterns. It involves different approaches…
Q: Explain why is accurate forecasting so important to companies that use a continuous replenishment…
A: Forecasting is the practice of making future assumptions based on historical and current data, most…
Q: How much does the forecasting process at Deckers correspond with the “typical forecasting process”…
A: Forecasting is the tool which uses the historical data as the inputs to make the informed estimates…
Q: From the choice of simple moving average, weighted moving average, exponential smoothing, and linear…
A: Forecasting is the process of making assumptions of future events based on past and present…
Q: How do exponential smoothing have benefits over shifting.averages as a forecasting tool?
A: The benefits of exponential smoothing are as a prediction tool compared to moving averages.
Q: What are the major consequences of accurate forecasting? explain
A: Forecasting is defined as a process of developing predictions based on the past and…
Q: Forecasting can be classified into which basic types?
A: Forecasting is the process of identifying the demand accurately for future production planning and…
Q: Why the following Approaches are used in forecasting, how would you interpret them what do they mean…
A: Forecasting is a technique that a marketer uses to estimate various things like a trend, future…
Q: Use a three-period moving average method to determine forecast value for time 5 to 7. Use an…
A: THE ANSWER IS AS BELOW:
Q: What forecasting tool is most appropriate when closely working with customers dependent on your…
A: CPFR (Collaborative planning, forecasting, and replenishment) is a forecasting tool that is the most…
Q: Describe the key factors and trade-offs to consider when choosing a forecasting technique.
A: The main factors are cost and accuracy..
Q: State and describe the forecasting technique which places more emphasis on recent values and explain…
A: To be determined: the forecasting technique which places more emphasis on recent values and explains…
Q: What is the expected sales for the 7th week based on 3 period moving average. What is the forecast…
A: Forecasting is the process of predicting the future demand using previous or historic information.
Q: State examples of industries affected by seasonality and reasons to eliminate seasonality in their…
A: To be determined: examples of industries affected by seasonality and reasons to eliminate…
Q: How can you evaluate the accuracy of a forecast model? explain in detail
A: Forecasting is the process of making assumptions of the future on the basis of past and present data…
When to use of a time series
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- Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. Ethical decisions that affect a buyers ethical perspective usually involve the organizational environment, cultural environment, personal environment, and industry environment. Analyze this scenario using these four variables.Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What should Sharon do in this situation?Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What does the Institute of Supply Management code of ethics say about financial conflicts of interest?
- Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. Is Ben Gibson acting legally? Is he acting ethically? Why or why not?Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. As the Marketing Manager for Southeastern Corrugated, what would you do upon receiving the request for quotation from Coastal Products?Describe when to use of a time series forecasting techniques and what assumption are made?