While analyzing their annual sales data (liters of wine sold per year) for the past 30 years, a vineyard found that after taking four successive differences, the resulting data had a mean of 2458 liters and looked like a stationary process (e.g. white noise). If the actual data for the past four years were 2018 - 2134 liters, 2017 - 2403 liters, 2016 - 2076 liters, and 2015 - 2290 liters. What would be a reasonable forecast for sales in 2019? Explain.

Practical Management Science
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ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
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While analyzing their annual sales data (liters of wine sold per year) for the past 30 years, a vineyard found that after taking four successive differences, the resulting data had a mean of 2458 liters and looked like a stationary process (e.g. white noise). If the actual data for the past four years were 2018 - 2134 liters, 2017 - 2403 liters, 2016 - 2076 liters, and 2015 - 2290 liters. What would be a reasonable forecast for sales in 2019? Explain.
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