wine sold by the Connor Owen winery in an eight-year period is as follows: YEAR CASES OF MERLOT WINE 1 270 2 356 3 398 4 456 5 358

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models
Section13.7: Exponential Smoothing Models
Problem 25P: The file P13_25.xlsx contains the quarterly numbers of applications for home mortgage loans at a...
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The number of cases of merlot wine sold by the Connor Owen winery in an eight-year period is as follows:

YEAR CASES OF MERLOT WINE
1 270
2 356
3 398
4 456
5 358
6 500
7 410
8 376

Using an exponential smoothing model with an alpha value of 0.20, estimate the smoothed value calculated as of the end of year 8. Use the average demand for years 1 through 3 as your initial forecast for year 4, and then smooth the forecast forward to year 8.

Note: Round your intermediate calculations and final answer to the nearest whole number.

 
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