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With the inflation at a 44-year high and climbing, fuel at the highest prices ever in the history of US and supply and distribution constraints, how does this impact investors that bet against banks and credit card companies?
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- Is the 10-year US Government bond rate currently outperforming the 3-month US Government rate. If so, what does this mean? what is the bond market’s prediction for the future level of economic activity? Is its prediction weaker or stronger than that of the stock market?What current rate environment is the US currently in by historical standards? (LOW, HIGH, AVERAGE) What are the expectations for rates in the US over the next year? How will this impact businesses borrowing money (debt)? What do you observe in day-to-day life regarding current inflation?If reserves in the banking system increase by $1 billionbecause the Fed lends $1 billion to financial institutions,and checkable deposits increase by $9 billion, why isn’tthe banking system in equilibrium? What will continue tohappen in the banking system until equilibrium is reached?Show the T-account for the banking system in equilibrium.
- The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee raised interest rates to 3.5 per cent on December 15, 2022 while governor Bailey declaring that “inflation has reached its peak”. What was the immediate impact of this action on financial markets? You have been given £10 million on December 16 to build an optimal portfolio in current market conditions. What would you be investing on, how much on each financial instrument and why? Explain your strategy in detail. Direct and indirect investment are all allowed. No cryptocurrency.Give typing answer with explanation and conclusion Consider the prevailing condition of inflation (including changes in global oil price), the economy, budget deficit, decreases in expected remittance inflow, and the central bank monetary policy that could affect interest rate. Based on the prevailing conditions do you think bond price will increase or decreases in next six-month period. In the real economic environment which other factors may affect the bond price? Which factor in your opinion will have biggest impact on bond price? Assess the above given situations.John Ayena, a trainee at an investment banking firm, is trying to get an idea of what real rate of return investors are expecting in today’s marketplace. He has looked up the rate paid on 3-month U.S. Treasury bills and found it to be 5.5%. He has decided to use the rate of change in the Consumer Price Index as a proxy for the inflationary expectations of investors. That annualized rate now stands at 3%. On the basis of the information that John has collected, what estimate can he make of the real rate of return?
- a. The spot price of the British pound is currently $1.50. If the risk-free interest rate on 1-year government bonds is 1% in the United States and 2% in the United Kingdom, what must be the forward price of the pound for delivery one year from now?b. How could an investor make risk-free arbitrage profits if the forward price were higher than the price you gave in answer to part (a)? Give a numerical example.Which one of the following statements is an example of unsystematic risk? The number of vehicles sold by a major manufacturer was less than anticipated. GDP was 0.5 percent lower than expected. The inflation rate increased by 5 percent. The value of the dollar declined against the other major currencies.Suppose interest rates on Treasury bonds rose from 5% to 9% as a result of higher interest ratesin Europe. What effect would this have on the price of an average company’s common stock?
- In order to be able to support the national currency and to achieve inflation,as it should be in the parameter(s)? And this trip, the currency is risky,What is the effect on interest risk, price risky, country profitable risk? analyze andPlease comment.Moody's rating downgraded from 'Ba' to 'B',Foreign direct investment is low,Portfolio Investments are high,Inflation rate: 15%Interest rate: 10%TL / $ = 0.2755If the Fed were to reduce course and suddenly start buying twice as much federal debt as it has in the past, pushing bond prices up, what would happen to the yields on federal debt? a) Go up b) Go down c) Stay the sameA large bank is quoting the following spot exchange rates for number of YEN per USD, number of THB per USD and number of YEN per THB respectively. YEN/USD = 116.91 -- 116.95 THB/USD = 44.30 -- 44.40 YEN/THB = 2.6900 -- 2.7100. You are trader at Axe Capital, a US hedge fund, and your job is to try to find arbitrages in the currency markets. You have 10 mio USD risk capital provided by your fund. Using the 10 mio USD risk capital, how much arbitrage (guaranteed risk-free) profit can you make. If there is no arbitrage possible, enter zero. Give your answer in USD to the nearest USD. Please Do your calculation in excel and do not round anything until the very end.