You have an urn which contains one white and one black ball. At each second you pick a ball at random from the urn. You observe its color, return the ball into the urn, and add one more ball of the same color. What is the probability that if 15 balls are in the urn, all of them are black?

Operations Research : Applications and Algorithms
4th Edition
ISBN:9780534380588
Author:Wayne L. Winston
Publisher:Wayne L. Winston
Chapter12: Review Of Calculus And Probability
Section12.5: Random Variables, Mean, Variance, And Covariance
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You have an urn which contains one white and one black ball. At each second you pick a ball at random from the urn. You observe its color, return the ball into the urn, and add one more ball of the
same color. What is the probability that if 15 balls are in the urn, all of them are black?
Transcribed Image Text:You have an urn which contains one white and one black ball. At each second you pick a ball at random from the urn. You observe its color, return the ball into the urn, and add one more ball of the same color. What is the probability that if 15 balls are in the urn, all of them are black?
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