How Country Risk Affects NPVMonk, Inc., isconsidering a capital budgeting project in Tunisia. Theproject requires an initial outlay of 1 million Tunisiandinars; the dinar is currently valued at $.70. In the firstand second years of operation, the project will generate 700,000 dinars in each year. After two years, Monk willterminate the project, and the expected salvage value is 300,000 dinars. Monk has assigned a discount rate of12 percent to this project. The following additionalinformation is available: There is currently no withholding tax on remit-tances to the United States, but there is a 20 percentchance that the Tunisian government will impose awithholding tax of 10 percent beginning next year. There is a 50 percent chance that the Tunisian gov-ernment will pay Monk 100,000 dinar after twoyears instead of the 300,000 dinars it expects. The value of the dinar is expected to remainunchanged over the next two years. a.Determine the net present value of the project ineach of the four possible scenarios. b.Determine the joint probability of each scenario. c.Compute the expected NPV of the project and makea recommendation to Monk regarding its feasibility

EBK CONTEMPORARY FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
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ISBN:9781337514835
Author:MOYER
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Chapter11: Capital Budgeting And Risk
Section: Chapter Questions
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How Country Risk Affects NPVMonk, Inc., isconsidering a capital budgeting project in Tunisia. Theproject requires an initial outlay of 1 million Tunisiandinars; the dinar is currently valued at $.70. In the firstand second years of operation, the project will generate 700,000 dinars in each year. After two years, Monk willterminate the project, and the expected salvage value is 300,000 dinars. Monk has assigned a discount rate of12 percent to this project. The following additionalinformation is available: There is currently no withholding tax on remit-tances to the United States, but there is a 20 percentchance that the Tunisian government will impose awithholding tax of 10 percent beginning next year. There is a 50 percent chance that the Tunisian gov-ernment will pay Monk 100,000 dinar after twoyears instead of the 300,000 dinars it expects. The value of the dinar is expected to remainunchanged over the next two years. a.Determine the net present value of the project ineach of the four possible scenarios. b.Determine the joint probability of each scenario. c.Compute the expected NPV of the project and makea recommendation to Monk regarding its feasibility.

 

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