against the null hypothesis. The p-value is the probability of getting the observed value of the test statistic, or a value with the even greater evidence against Ho, if the null hypothesis is actually true. The smaller the p-value, the greater the evidence against the null hypothesis. If we have a given significance level, then we reject. If we do not have a given significance level, then it is not as cut-and-dried. If the P-value is less than (or equal to) α, then the null hypothesis is rejected in
Question 1 According to Malkel’s efficient market hypothesis “prices are rationally based, changes in prices are expected to be random and unpredictable because new information, by its very nature, is unpredictable.” Therefore stock prices are said to follow a random walk. Malkiel provides more evidence to show that markets are random. For example he talks about the firm-foundation theory, which states that each investment instrument has an intrinsic value. The intrinsic value can be determined by
TABLE OF CONTENTS INTRODUCTION 2 1. Literature review 3 2. Potential gaps and further research 8 2.1. Potential gaps 8 2.2. Data 9 2.3. Methodology 9 CONCLUSION 11 REFERENCE 12 INTRODUCTION The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) promoted by Fama (1970) is considered an important theory in financial area. However, the existence of momentum profits has threatened EMH. One typical study in this issue is done by Jegadeesh and Titman (1993). They found that momentum strategy realizes significant abnormal
Efficient Market Hypothesis with the Effect of High Frequency and Insider Trading The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) has consistently remained in the forefront of finance theory for decades. As technology has advanced, the ability to assess the efficient market hypothesis has increased exponentially and so have the opportunities to exploit it. Tactics such as high frequency trading and insider trading threaten the dependability of the efficient market hypothesis. EMH is a rudimentary theory
The researchers wanted to test if the shot or nasal spray were more effective against the flu. The null hypothesis would be that both types of vaccine would have the same effect. The alternative hypothesis would be that one was more effective than the other making this a two-tailed test. In this case the P value was less than alpha so you would reject the null hypothesis. The results were statistically significant because the numbers were less than P, however the example doesn’t tell me what test
Introduction 1a. The hypothesis being addressed is that real psychics possess special clairvoyant powers, while non-psychics do not possess this kind of ability. 1b. In the John Thomas’s, it says that Joseph Rhines, a botanist at Duke University, conducted ESP experiments in the 1930s that founded “overwhelming” evidence supporting ESP. The issue was that other psychologists had issues with replicating his results. Another experiment that was made provided in the fact sheet was the research on random-number
significance, can we conclude that those joining Weight Reducers on average will lose less than 10 pounds? Determine the p-value. Answer: H0: = 10 pounds H1: < 10 pounds Reject the null hypothesis if Z < -1.65 9.0 – 10.00 Z= ---------------- = -2.53 2.8/sqrt(50) The null hypothesis is rejected, the average weight loss is less than 10 pounds. p-value = .5000 -
One- and Two-Sample Tests of Hypothesis, Variance, and Chi-squared Analysis Problem Sets • Exercises 19 and 20 (Ch. 17) Chapter 10 31. A new weight-watching company, Weight Reducers International, advertises that those who join will lose, on the average, 10 pounds the first two weeks with a standard deviation of 2.8 pounds. A random sample of 50 people who joined the new weight reduction program revealed the mean loss to be 9 pounds. At the .05 level of significance, can we conclude that those
Introduction It was previously assumed that economic investors and regulators (agents) utilised all available information and thus market prices were a reflection of this information with assets representing their fundamental value, encouraging the position that agents’ actions were rational. The 2007-2008 Global Financial Crisis (GFC) is posited to have originated from the notion that all available information was utilised, causing agents to fail to thoroughly investigate and confirm “the true
The Validity of the Aquatic Ape Hypothesis Ideas are built upon fundamental ideas. When the Aquatic Ape Hypothesis (AAH) was proposed over 70 years ago, it received criticism from the scientific community because of the multiple theories that had been established based on the Savanna Hypothesis; however, the Savanna Hypothesis was proven to be false. The foundation is essential to any hypothesis and theory. There is always space for exploration and accepting other methods and ideas – that is the