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Brazil: Leading the Brics

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Brazil Capitalism The primary question that Brazil faces as it moves into the 21st century is whether the Brazilian style of capitalism, which harnessed their economy towards growth as a developing economy, is sufficient to drive them as a developed country. Averaging 3.8% GDP growth over the last decade, this transition seems inevitable; Brazil has shifted from an agricultural giant to a country in which 90% of the population works in the industrial and service sectors. However, as they make this conversion, they must examine their economic policies to ensure that they are still applicable and advantageous. For example, Brazil must keep promoting their industrial policies. Brazil may fall back into a commodity-driven economy if raw …show more content…

In 1994, Brazil’s central bank sought to kill astronomic inflation by raising the bank lending rate; the rate has been slowly dropped since, but still remains somewhat high at 12%. This has served to curb some of the inflation, which has stabilized from a high of 14.7% in 2003 to 5.0% in 2010; however, 5% is still fairly large. In order to encourage business development, Brazil needs to work on achieving lower bank lending; since these high rates are the result of bank uncertainty rather than an exorbitantly high central bank rate, this will only be possible if Brazilian bureaucracy is improved to the point where banks are reasonably sure of being able to enforce loans. Once Brazil's legal system has improved to the point where it takes significantly less than the 2009 figure of 616 days to enforce a simple credit contract, and when creditors are confident that they'll receive more than the 2009 rate of 17 cents/dollar in the event of a bankruptcy, then creditors will feel comfortable asking for lower rates. As the cost of doing business in Brazil drops, the shadow economy will grow smaller than the current estimate of 40% of GDP, and Brazil's GDP will rise as a result. Finally, Brazilian infrastructure is a major obstacle on the path to development. Brazil is ranked 105th out of 139 countries surveyed in quality of roads; out of the BRIC nations, only Russia is worse. Many of the cost advantages that Brazil enjoys are negated by the high

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