In this Presidential Election, the Republican Party is a disadvantage in Florida due to the large concentrations of voters in major cities. The majority of the state votes for the Republican candidate, but big cities like Miami, Orlando, and Tampa always seem to vote for the Democratic candidate. In the 2012 election between Mitt Romney and Barack Obama, Mitt Romney won all but thirteen counties but lost in majorly in the urban areas where Barack Obama won an astonishing number of the votes. For Donald Trump to stand a chance, he must focus on the rural cities with a large number of Conservative and Independent voters and has a low voter turnout.
The number one county Donald Trump must focus on is Sarasota County. Even with almost one hundred and twenty thousand registered republican voters during the 2012 election, Romney still only was able to carry fifty-two percent of the votes in that county. This is a very populated county filled with republican voters who have a low turnout rate in previous elections. Money should be pumped into Sarasota to help increase voter turnout for the Trump Pence campaign. With a large push to get Republican voters to come out and vote Donald could win a bunch of solid votes to offset some of the counties he will struggle in.
The largest group of counties that should be focused on are the counties of; Collier, Martin, Indian River, Escambia, Lake, Highlands, Citrus, Marion, Manatee, Charlotte and Lee. Like Sarasota County, these counties have
The 1980 presidential election of the United States featured three primary candidates, Republican Ronald Reagan, Democrat Jimmy Carter and liberal Republican John Anderson. Ronald Reagan was the governor of California before he decided to run for the presidency. John Anderson was a representative in Illinois and Carter was the incumbent. The lengthy Iran hostage crisis sharpened public opinions by the beginning of the election season. In the 1970s, the United States were experiencing a straining episode of low economic growth, high price increases and interest rates and an irregular energy crisis. The sense of discomfort in both domestic and foreign affairs in the nation were heading downward, this added to the downward spiral that was already going on. Between Carter, Anderson and Reagan, the general election campaign of the 1980s seemed more concerned with shadowboxing around political issues rather than a serious discussion of the issues that concerned voters.
Current President Trump won Florida by being both an active campaigner and by tapping into the underlying swing state voter mentality. With Flordia not having one state wide party, it means the state is anyone’s game. Focusing on in person appearance while targeting not just his own party but other parties voters and the independent vote made all the difference. While not a politician, Trump
The famous billionaire and real-estate developer Donald Trump announced his running on the Republican ticket for the 2016 presidential elections on June 16, 2015. Currently in the race, Trump is leading the Republican polls with sixty-seven delegates on board. Ted Cruz is falling in second with only eleven delegates. Seventy-four percent of voters believe that Trump will be nominated as the Republican candidate. About twenty-three percent of voters believe that he will be elected as the next 2016 president. Donald Trump’s success has followed him from the beginning.
When the words “swing state” are mentioned, Florida is perhaps one of the first states a person may think of. In this year’s election cycle, the story is no different. Florida has a single senate seat up for election, and Marco Rubio (R), and Patrick Murphy (D) are hoping to claim it on November 8th. Marco Rubio has held that seat since the last senate election in 2010, giving him an edge as the incumbent. Patrick Murphy is the challenger and has been a member of the House of Representatives since 2012. A glance at any polling numbers shows Rubio ahead, and most have shown him ahead since the beginning of the race. The polls do not show a commanding lead, as one may expect from an incumbent. While polling margins are slimmer than many average incumbents, money has not stopped flowing to Rubio. His finances are typical of an incumbent particularly that of a closely contested race. It may be impossible to tell which has the greater effect of Rubio’s fundraising. In states that are typically swing states and have close political races, simple analyses such as incumbency advantage may not fully explain the results and polls in the race.
Moreover, they believed Trump’s novelty act as the “outsider” would soon wear out and make GOP voters collectively come to their senses and coalesce behind either Marco Rubio or Jeb Bush, the party’s blue-eyed boys. This cocksure feeling has now given way to one of dread as Trump keeps notching victories in the primary season. A new Rasmussen poll puts Trump 15 points clear of closest rival Ted Cruz. More worryingly, 24% of Trump’s base will “very likely” vote for him if he runs as an independent, effectively torching GOP hopes of preventing a Democratic three-peat in the White House.
Unexpectedly, the front-runner in the Republican presidential race is the one guy that no one expected to be a serious candidate. Donald Trump has leaped ahead of the rest of the Republican field, making friends and enemies alike. Since his controversial announcement speech, polling has put him squarely in the two of popular GOP candidates along with presumed leader Jeb Bush. As startling as this is to many, it is even more alarming to those parts of the GOP who are trying to broaden their appeal and reach out to minorities. Already, many political operatives are doing damage control in the wake of Mr. Trump 's path and others are trying to tie his racist statements into the fabric of the Republican party itself.
A candidate cannot win and election just by going into a high populated area and not focusing on the rest of the country.
B) Following a good performance in Monday night’s debate, Hillary Clinton’s poll numbers have risen in a number of key states. First, in a poll taken in Florida after the debate by Mason-Dixon polling and research, Clinton held a 46 percent to 42 percent advantage over Donald Trump, which was significant given that a New York Times Upshot/Siena College poll had shown that the candidates were virtually even in the state prior to the debate. The article notes that Hillary’s lead is due largely to her strong support from women, Hispanics, and African Americans. Additionally, a recent WBUR poll shows Hillary holding a seven point lead over Donald in the state of New Hampshire, which is six points higher than a previous September poll done by NBC-Marist. In New Hampshire, the growing lead seems to be due to a large portion of voters believing that Hillary won the debate. Lastly, despite Donald Trump’s visits to the state, a recent survey conducted by The Detroit News shows that Clinton has a seven point lead over Trump in Michigan. Like New Hampshire, Hillary’s lead in Michigan is in part due to voters believing that she beat Trump in the debate. However, Trump also is hurt in Michigan by the majority of voters believing he is unqualified to serve as president and his meager support from African Americans.
Looking beyond the New York's primary, Cruz urged supporters to send a message to his chief rival Donald Trump by denying him the delegates he needs to secure the GOP nomination by voting for his campaign in the Maryland's primary next Tuesday.
The 2012 presidential election was fundamentally different than the presidential election of 2004. In 2004, George W Bush defeated John Kerry with 62,028,719 votes, which was essentially 50.8 percent of the ballots cast. In 2004 the issue that was of most concern for Americans was terrorism. Furthermore, the attacks on September 11th 2001 served in bringing the country together to help secure the win for Bush. The polling data shows that 52 percent of the people believed that Bush would do a better job dealing with terrorism and homeland security, versus 29 percent for Kerry. Voters seemed to prefer Bush in dealing with problems in Iraq, 50 to 37 and furthermore, on moral issues, by 47 to 29. Kerry was ahead 48 to 32 on jobs and unemployment and by a fairly wide margin of 51 to 28 on health care. When comparing how people voted, Kerry had the majority of
“Republican presidential hopeful Jeb Bush will make his first official campaign stop in Colorado” (Rittiman). Jeb Bush started his presidential campaign August 25th and seems to be falling fast just two months later. Suffering Donald Trump 's reality show style insults and the problems his family 's dynasty created Jeb has been steadily falling in the polls. He first came out running with many people behind him seeing him as genuine, but now he is beginning to fall prey to Trump 's demonization. Bush is losing funding fast and unfortunately for him some are calling him the next Scott Walker.
Cruz takes first place with 28 percent of the Republican voters succeeding Trump by 2 percent, who has 26 percent. Trump is followed by Marco Rubio with 17 percent and John Kasich with 11 percent who is closely followed
Donald Trump is bursting back onto television in South Carolina. Advertising tracker Kantar Media's CMAG identifies $463,000 worth of new Trump TV and radio commercials that are set to begin airing Tuesday in the third-to-vote primary state.
After almost two years on the campaign trail, the United States of America has finally elected its new president, Donald Trump. No that is not a typo, this is real life. It was a hard fought battle between Hillary Clinton and the Donald which ultimately lead to one of the most shocking upsets in recent American politics. Being that the odds were heavily stacked against Trump as poll after poll predicted Clinton be the victor, it was to the astonishment of many that he reigned victorious during this 2016 presidential election cycle. Be it the will of the country (or in this case electoral college ) this poisonous cheeto will now be the 45th president of the United States. So how did this happen, what was it about Trump that pushed voter behavior in his favor in many key battleground states? Trumps victory lies in the hands of the silent majority who at this point were dying for change and saw it within the republican nominee. The biggest contributing factor to Trump’s win on November 8 was retrospective voting which a lot of voters clearly engaged in this election cycle.
After losing in Iowa to Cruz and his disciplined ground game, Trump managed to pull his operation together in New Hampshire a week later, despite reports that the campaign was hopelessly disorganized. (“We learned a lot about ground games in one week,” Trump boasted in his victory speech.) He has already launched an organized effort to sway delegates to his side, and might up the ante by offering things that Cruz and Kasich cannot: “There are a lot of delegates who’d like to ride on Trump’s plane,” former Trump operative Roger Stone told The New York Times. “There are a lot of delegates who’d like to have a phone call from Ivanka Trump. We’ll get to that