PART 1 I agree that we estimate almost everyday, and we are estimating even if sometimes we are not aware that we are doing it. PART 2 Double check the following: 3 tbs marshmallows 2 tbs chocolate chips 1tsp baking soda. What is the corresponding amount of chopped walnuts? How about the corresponding amount of maraschino cherries?
Materials: Observation 1; 1 cup of water, 2 cups of sugar, 1 glass jar, 1 wooden skewer, 1 plate and 2 clothespins. Observation 2; 1 cup of water, 3 cups of sugar, 1 glass jar, 1 wooden skewer, 1 plate, 5 drops of red food coloring, and one plate.
Due to this being a relatively new science, most of this is based on hypotheticals and hope.
15g x 2 30g x 2 60g x 2 120g x 2 240g x 2 480g …amount of
A lot of times by being a non-professional, I have unwavering faith in a lot of the public statistical numbers. I have always been amazed by how precisely statisticians can tell stories from bunch lifeless numbers. Statisticians, like most scientists, use accurate calculations, formulas and methodologies to make objective conclusions. But we try to forget that statisticians are also human beings, who make mistakes intentionally or unintentionally, who face pressures and
4 out of every 5 doctors recommend this new medicine. A new study says that eating more chocolate can make you live longer. Men have a 95% chance of graduating college while women only have a 89% chance. You are surrounded by these statements of a daily basis, no matter if they are referring to your health, a new car, or even the weather they all wouldn’t be possible without statisticians..
From these large, nut-like seeds, mighty trees can grow. White acorns tend to be long and narrow, rather than fat and round like red acorns. They also have a crown or cap that covers about one-quarter of the body. Whereas, red acorn caps are nearly flat on top. Furthermore, being relatively high in carbohydrates, they are a significantly concentrated source of energy. Yet, acorns are not the same in terms of nutritional content or tastiness. Acorns produced by different species of oak trees are in fact quite different.
However, the statistical definition of “confidence” is much different than the conversational definition. In statistics, confidence does not judge how “correct” a
Exotic flavours like pistachio, pear, cinnamon are also available, while the adventurous can try different combinations.
Why is knowledge and accuracy something that remains in a realm of uncertainty? It’s virtually within a human’s nature to strive for accuracy throughout daily life; it seems nothing short of a prize, even if it blinds us to the real truth. The desire to be accurate can conflict with other motives and lead a person into falsely believing facts that only pertain to personal values. The article “Trust Me, I’m A Scientist” by Daniel T. Willingham broadens this horizon through discussion as to why so many people choose not to believe what scientists say, and how it’s cause for the direct interest of certain skeptics.
Baking Ingredient Conversions Baking Conversions by Capacity U.S. - Metric 1/5 teaspoon 1 ml 1 teaspoon (tsp) 5 ml 1 tablespoon (tbsp) 15 ml 1 fluid oz. 30 ml 1/5 cup 50 ml 1/4 cup 60 ml 1/3 cup 80 ml 3.4 fluid oz. 100 ml 1/2 cup 120 ml 2/3 cup 160 ml 3/4 cup 180 ml 1 cup 240 ml 1 pint (2 cups) 480 ml 1 quart (4 cups) .95 liter 34 fluid oz. 1 liter 4.2 cups 1 liter 2.1 pints 1 liter 1.06 quarts 1 liter .26 gallon 1 liter 4 quarts (1 gallon) 3.8 liters Baking Conversions by Weight U.S. - Metric .035 ounce 1 gram 0.5 oz. 14 grams 1 oz. 28 grams 1/4 pound (lb) 113 grams 1/3 pound (lb) 151 grams 1/2 pound (lb) 227 grams 1 pound (lb) 454 grams 1.10 pounds (lbs) 500 grams 2.205 pounds (lbs) 1 kilogram 35 oz. 1 kilogram Equivalent Baking Conversions
Even worse scientists and experts never talk about their own records in predictions. They never discuss why they miss to predict major events that have happened. People want a forecast of what is going to happen and they want it to be accurate, however black swans will throw a wrench in anyone’s prediction causing them to be wrong more than they are right. “The culture of academic research in numerous disciplines encourages theoretical modeling which is never seriously compared to data” (2). “The problem with experts is that they do not know what they do not know”
The North American Eastern Grey Squirrel has become a major issue for the hardwood timber growers in Europe due to their habit of barkstripping (Fitzgibbon). Currently it is a formidable task to determine the amount of grey squirrels in a specific area, thus Fitzgibbon has created a method involving the amount of dreys present in a wooded area. The conclusion of the experiment led researchers to believe there is a strong correlation between the nut production and maturity of trees and the density of squirrels (Fitzgibbon). Thus, it is reasonable to believe grey squirrels are most often found in dense woods consisting of a high population of beech, oak, and hazelnut trees (Fitzgibbon). Although minimal research has been conducted involving oak
Trees are felled, cut into rounds, slices 18 inches long and left in the sun to dry. When they become seasoned, the rounds are split into convenient sized chunks.
With my observations, I see alot of these findings on a daily basis from human interactions to
Science of estimation is well-developed and well-supported by software tools v Art of estimation relies on rules of thumb and still needs some work