by HHI. Retention ratio and ceded ratio are proxies to the contracts made with the reinsurance companies outside Egypt. (Adler, 1984, pp. 41-50) stated a procedure for assessing the FXE using a single factor to estimate the changeability of the company’s equity returns to exchange rates.
R_(i,t)=α+γ_i 〖XR〗_(j,t)+ε_i
Where R_(i,t) is the return on company i, over the period t. 〖XR〗_(j,t) is the change in exchange rate. The coefficient γ_i measures the company’s total exposure to foreign exchange rate.
After that, (Jorion, 1991, pp. 363–376) measured the exposure using two-factor model, which becomes the standard for controlling the exchange rate risk.
R_(i,t)=α+β_i R_(m,t)+ γ_i 〖XR〗_(j,t)+ε_i
Where R_(i,t) is the return on
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26-46; Bartov E. B., 1994, pp. 1755-1785; Bartov E. B., 1996, pp. 105–123; Griffin, 2001, pp. 215–241) among others.
According to the population division, the variables will be used as follow: In the first part of the population “listed insurance companies”, we will use the R_(i,t) as the return on the stock i on the companies, R_(m,t) is the return on EGX30 market index and 〖XR〗_(j,t) is the change in the foreign exchange rate over time period t. Then we will calculate the coefficient (FXE) γ_i monthly (using daily data), quarterly, semiannually, and annually (using weekly data) from 2000 till 2016 In the second part of the population “ unlisted insurance companies”, we will use R_(i,t) as the return on equity for the companies i as there are not included in the stock market, R_(m,t) is return on equity for the insurance market (life or P&C insurance market) and 〖XR〗_(j,t) is the change in the foreign exchange rate over time period t. Then we will calculate the coefficient (FXE) γ_i annually according to the available data from 2000 until 2016.
Then we will use a model similar to (Aggarwal R., 2010, pp. 1619-1636) with some modifications to identify the most important and significant variables causing this exposure.
Page 3: Introduction to the Financial System Page 7: Commercial Banks Page 12: The Share Market and the Corporation Page 15: Corporations Issuing Equity into the Share Market Page 19: Investors in the Share Market Page 24: Short-term Debt Page 28: Medium- to Long-term Debt Page 32: Interest Rate Determination and Forecasting Page 37: The Foreign Exchange Market Page 40: Factors that Influence the Exchange Rate Page 42: Futures Contracts and Forward Rate Agreements Page 47: Options
Aside from Feldstein’s technique, there are at least two other techniques Feldstein could use to estimate GM’s yen exposure:
The goal of this case is to help Sandra Meyer develop a presentation to address Henry Bosse’s concerns about international investments. The general idea is to demonstrate to Henry the benefits of international diversification, if any. To achieve this goal, you need to have a view on 1) the impact of foreign exchange (FX) rates on the return and risk of international investments, and 2) the impact of having more assets on the return and risk of the investment portfolio To form views on these two points, answer the following questions: I. The impact of FX rates on the risk and return of foreign investments 1a) Using data in Appendix A, calculate the
The exchange rates risk that is associated with economic, transaction, and translation exposure in Indian market. From the analysis, anticipate the fluctuations that seem to occur in the next 24 months
Same as the results of 10-year period, the healthcare excess return is positively correlated with the utility excess return while negatively correlated with the material excess return. Compared to the 10-year results, it is found that beta of X1 decreases from 0.2750 to 0.2045 and beta of X2 decreases from -0.3165 to -0.3382. Also, beta of X0 drops which indicates without incorporating the event risk, more other variable is explained by the explanatory variables. As the p-value is less than 5% significance level, the relationships are both statistically significant. The standard errors of X1 and X2 are both small enough to indicate that the observations are close to the fitted
A currency exposure is any business operation whose profitability can be impacted by a currency exchange rate fluctuation.
Research questions: To begin with, I would like to analyze NIKE foreign exchange exposure management using foreign currency derivative by the
(1) What is a beta coefficient, and how are betas used in risk analysis? (2) Do the expected returns appear to be related to each alternative’s market risk? (3) Is it possible to choose among the alternatives on the basis of the information developed thus far? Use the data given at the beginning of the problem to construct a graph that shows how the T-bill’s, High Tech’s, and Collections’ beta coefficients are calculated. Discuss what beta measures and explain how it is used in risk analysis.
In the similar time period Japanese Yen has been in the third position with a turnover position of 20.8% in the year 2005. The overall financial market currency structure has seen a decline in the turnover position of the US Dollar to 85% from a strong position of 88%. Similarly a decline has been in the position of the Japanese Yen to 17.2% from an acceptable turnover position of 20.8%. While considering the trend of these two currencies during the period starting from 2007 and ending at 2010, it is to be noted that minute changes were seen in the two different currencies with regards to their share in foreign currency market. The US Dollar witnessed a continued fall to 84.9% from its previous 85.6% however, the Japanese Yen saw a rise from its previous position of 17.2% to an increase of1.8% that is 19%. During the same time period the US dollar and Japanese Yen were the second most traded paired currencies and was traded at around 14% of the overall foreign currency market second to the US Dollar and Euro pair. Conclusion The foreign exchange market has seen considerable changes owing to the global financial crisis. It is to be seen how different factors like economy and global politics further impact strong currencies like the US Dollar and other competing currencies such as the Japanese Yen.
Economic exposure is the change in expected cash flows arising because of an unexpected change in exchange rates. Aside from existing obligations of the firm which will be settled in foreign currencies at
Exhibit 7 from the case study describes the currency development in medium term of the GBP and EURO against the dollar. We can observe that the currencies are exposed to high volatility, which means the company may register greater risk
As indicated by the case study S&P 500 index was use as a measure of the total return for the stock market. Our standard deviation of the total return was used as a one measure of the risk of an individual stock. Also betas for individual stocks are determined by simple linear regression. The variables were: total return for the stock as the dependent variable and independent variable is the total return for the stock. Since the descriptive statistics were a lot, only the necessary data was selected (below table.)
It is important for investors to consider and understand the changes of influence foreign exchange market have on the stocks. So the investors need to know the currency exposure of the company portfolio.
International Financial Management Trial Exam Closed Book Examination INCLUDEPICTURE uvafileserverjligter1DataOnderwijsInternational Financeif2008sbriederLocal SettingsTempRarDI04.890ABS-logo.gif MERGEFORMAT Closed Book Examination Answer as brief and concise as possible redundant or superfluous remarks may lead to a lower score. The maximum score per problem is given between parentheses. The maximum score of the whole exam is 100 points. QUESTION 1 - 20 points SHAPE MERGEFORMAT This graph depicts the REAL value of the broad index which is a weighted average of the foreign exchange values of the U.S. dollar against the currencies of a large group of major U.S. trading partners. a) Consider the following table of price levels,
The second channel points to the influence of the real effective exchange rate on the economic growth rate and on the rate of job creation in the long run. Through the last channel, the real effective exchange rate affects employment by influencing the labor intensity of industries.