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From Great Inflation To Great Moderation

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From Great Inflation to Great Moderation At the end of President Jimmy Carters administration (1976-1980), the economic environment in the United States was heading toward the 8th recession since World War II (“The Reagan Years”). Oil prices continued to rise from $4 a barrel in 1973 to $37 a barrel (Sloan 31) creating an energy crisis, business investments slowed (Michael), Congress repealed usury laws allowing credit card companies to increase interest rates up to 20 percent or higher, (Foner1048) and a move toward automation and outsourcing manufacturing created loss of employment. By 1980 the rate of inflation was at 13.5% and unemployment rates were at 7.1% (Foner 1045 [table 26.1]). The country had deteriorating public confidence …show more content…

On January 20, 1981 Ronald Reagan was inaugurated to the office of the presidency and with this inauguration came a report from Arthur Laffer, Congressman Jack Kemp, and David Stockman which declared a crisis situation due to government regulation and disastrous overtaxation (Samuelson 60). The solution to this problem became what is now known as Kemp-Laffer-Stockman supply-side economics. This type of economics held that a greater supply of goods and services, made possible by measures to increase business investment,was the swiftest road to economic growth (“The Reagan Years”). To implement this plan a cut in tax rates for three years had to be implemented. These tax cuts the administration argued would increase capital investment and corporate earnings which would increase government revenues (“The Reagan Years”). In 1981 Reagan succeeded in getting Congress to pass the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 (Sloan 7) initiating the beginning of what would be later dubbed Reaganomics. Later, another act would be passed, the Tax Reform Act of 1986, which reduced tax rates for all groups (Sloan 7). At the initial onset of Reaganomics there was a recession from 1981-1982. Conservatives painted this recession as being the result of inherited problems from the Carter administration and not as a failure of Reaganomics. Instead Conservatives point out that following the lowest point of

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