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How Do Government Institutions Affect Stock Market Performance

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Political stability and other institution related indicators are also used to predict stock returns. Narayan et al. (2015) develop a country-level governance indicator using some of the commonly used governance risk factors, and examine whether country-level governance can predict stock returns. They conclude that governance risk factor can be employed to predict stock returns, when governance quality is poor; yet for the developed countries, governance indicators are not able to predict stock returns. In a similar line, Asongu (2011) attempts to answer the empirical question of how do government policies and institutions affect stock market performance. The study focuses on developing countries in Africa, and it is found that the quality …show more content…

They conclude that investigated markets have been responsive to general elections and partisan politics. Using a panel of 27 OECD countries, Bailkowski et al. (2006) examine whether general election periods tend to increase volatility in stock market. They reveal that volatility can be high particularly during the week around an election, implying that election outcome was not expected by the majority of the investors- so that it is an ‘election shock’ or a surprise for them. Add to that, they report that newly established stock markets or markets with short trading history show stronger responses to election outcomes. Gunay (2016) studies the impact of internal political risk on return volatilities of the BIST100 index of Turkish stock market, and concludes that when comparing with the previous regimes, the internal political risk is significantly lower during the current regime-yet in overall, it confirms a negative link between the risk level and return volatility.
The role of political risk factors has also been quantified in relation to various macroeconomic variables, such as interest rates, Foreign Direct Investments, Private Investments, interest rates, and more importantly with the real output growth. The pioneering research study by Alesina et al. (1996) on this regard, explore the relationship between political

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