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James Galbraith's Time To Ditch The U

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In his article Time to Ditch the NAIRU, published in the Journal of Economic Perspective, James Galbraith has addressed an alternative view on the controversial NAIRU, or the natural rate of unemployment. His argument is well presented in four parts: the non-compelling theoretical cases for the natural rate; the mismeasure of the NAIRU and the shortcomings of the short-run Phillips curve; professional disagreements and discussions on the location of the NAIRU, and lastly, costs and benefits of using the natural rate of unemployment a policy guide tool. This response paper will critically analyze Galbraith’s view and provide a personal viewpoint on the main ideas related to the NAIRU, in context particularly presented by Galbraith and the world’s economy in general.
In “Unsolved Theoretical Questions”, Galbraith suggests the current and past debates about the concept of the NAIRU, and then raises several concerns about the validity and usefulness of the natural rate. The idea of the natural rate was invented by Milton Friedman (1968) and Edmund Phelps (1968). Specifically, it was Friedman’s presidential lecture that …show more content…

Galbraith mentions that the United States has not experienced wage-led inflation since the 1950s, while the main factors that accelerated inflation were oil production, or dollar devaluation. Another interesting question is bought up “Why are no general equilibrium theorists proposing the NAIROP (natural rate of oil production) or the NAIRODD (natural rate of dollar devaluation). According to the old Phillips curve model, if real wage has been stable or falling, can we conclude that the economy has always been above the NAIRU, and the inflation rate should have been falling as a result? (But it actually did not, because of other mentioned

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