Edward Chancellor is an investment strategist, amongst many other things after graduation from Trinity College. While he currently is a columnist for Financial Times, Chancellor has also written many books, one of them being “Devil that the Hindmost: A History of Financial Speculation”. This book is an interesting look at events where economic speculation is in the forefront throughout history. The book starts out with one of the first accounts of speculative mania, the tulopomania during the Dutch Golden Age. Chancellor has the interesting idea that the impulses have in fact shaped speculations, and they are at odds with the orthodox theory of markets who act in an efficient manner. Chancellor goes on to the topics of emerging markets, …show more content…
After the Mississippi Companies success in France, British investors began pumping money into the South Sea Company. The others companies were started because of the investing craze, on the coattails of the South Sea Company, began taking in a lot of money. The demand for investments caused many IPOs to occur out of nowhere and form companies that did nothing. In early 1720, the South Sea Company stock was trading at around £128 a share. However, the exact details of the South Sea Company’s scheme were not simple. In the novel, it said:
The higher the South Sea Share price, the fewer shares were exchanged for annuities and the greater the profit to be divided between the company and the government. The higher the value of the South Sea shares, the greater the market value of the shares received by the annuitants upon conversion. All parties-annuitants, governments, existing and prospective shareholders-had an interest in an inflated share price. (63)
So in order for everyone involved to make money and the secondary goal of debt consolation to be taken care of, the directors of the company spread rumors of success and riches of the South Sea Company. As early as February, the price for stock rose to £187. This only helped to further people’s interest in the company and in March, the government endorsed a deal for the company to take on more of the national debt for more shares of South Sea. For this deal to be
Scion. FrontPoint. Cornwall. These three companies were founded by men that understood that the subprime market was deteriorating and had a faulty foundation in bad loans. Lewis, in The Big Short, discusses the origination of these companies and how they figured out the value to short-selling credit default swaps in the subprime mortgage market.
If a ship did not make it to the country the investor lost everything. Joint-stock companies were not a reliable trade route, especially if one had to rely on a ship to make it to the
It was previously assumed that economic investors and regulators (agents) utilised all available information and thus market prices were a reflection of this information with assets representing their fundamental value, encouraging the position that agents’ actions were rational. The 2007-2008 Global Financial Crisis (GFC) is posited to have originated from the notion that all available information was utilised, causing agents to fail to thoroughly investigate and confirm “the true values of publicly traded securities,” leading to a failure to register the presence of an asset price bubble preceding the GFC (Ball 2009).
The Rise of the Speculator, by Emily Lambert - This book tells the story of the two largest futures exchanges in Chicago, Chicago Board of Trade and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. This book divided into 3 parts. First part is about trading in agriculture products such as grain, soybeans, eggs, onions, pork bellies and cattle. At first Chicago Board of Trade was just a group of businessmen. But in 1856, the Board of Trade had several hundred members and the trading room had grown crowed because of the trading of grain and corn. Second part is about financial product such as currencies, options, mortgages, bonds and stocks. Third part is about oil, euro dollars, bund and carbon.
Moreover, it deals with the immediate opening problem of the case: the market’s response to the PacifiCorp announcement. Finally, it should help to motivate a discussion of Buffett’s investment philosophy.
Throughout the text of the book, you will read about different bubbles that occurred in history. Some of these bubbles have happened in the last ten years and some have happened in the last three hundred years. One of the most interesting bubbles that I read about was “The South Sea Bubble”. The South Sea Company in England was formed in 1711 to create confidence in the government’s ability to meet its debts and promises. This company took a government debt (IOU) for ten million pounds. In return, the government was given monopoly over all trade to the South Seas (Malkiel, Page 41). People thought there would be a lot of opportunity to make money during this time. In 1720, the entire national debt, which was thirty one million pounds, was capitalized. The stock rose from 130 pounds to 300 pounds when the bill was introduced to Parliament. After bill became the law, the South Sea Company sold a new issue of stock at 300 pounds. There were fights that broke out by investors who wanted to purchase this new stock price at a proposed installment offer.
The South Sea Company, started in 1711, indirectly caused quite a ruckus among countless British investors, creating one of the earliest modern economic crises in our history. It all began as the South Sea Company, a British international trading company, monopolized the trade trade between Spain’s colonies in South America and the West Indies. Many investors soon began to realize the potential within the company as the colonies were filled with precious resources such as gold and silver. In order to determine the extent of the effects that the South Sea Bubble had on society, we must examine the social, political, and economic aspects within the catastrophe. The magnitude of the situation was quite immense as it’s effects had a severe impact on the British investors and the economic outlook towards investment. Thus, the South Sea Bubble represents an economic crisis that changed the British perception of pursuing and encouraging investment.
This book discusses speculation and how it has shaped the western world. The book spans from the Romans to Modern day but in keeping with the theme of this course observations will be restricted to the pre 1900 section as much as possible. The book focuses on western economies as the Asian world considers the whole stock trading for profit as being ruinous to a healthy economy. Individual profit taking does not contribute to the wealth of the community. Oddly modern Japan is viewed as a western culture and its economic woes of the late 80s is a sign that that it fell afoul of the demons of western capitalistic greed. (my portfolio is like a
The aim of the report is to use different valuation techniques to see if the current share price of Tesco plc is fair, undervalued or overvalued. Some of the findings will be compared with other firms in the same industries and share holders will be informed on whether they should buy, hold or sell.
7. The merit of paying by stock is it does not need to increase company’s debt and would not cause any liquidation issues. On the other hand, paying by cash is a quicker way than by stock. It would not cause earnings dilution and ownership loss. Moreover, paying by cash can produce tax shield to the company. In this case, FAHZ held 88.1% of Antarctica’s voting common stock and it was exempt from taxation. Besides, delays in the process may threaten the survival of Antarctic. So FAHZ preferred a cash offer. On the other hand, Brahma’s stock price might be undervalued, so the amount of consideration to be paid may change depend on the form of payment.
As Chapter 10 questions, if further evidence continues to surface that capital markets do not always behave in accordance with the efficient market hypothesis, then should we reject the research that has embraced the EMH as a fundamental assumption? In this regard we can return to earlier chapters of this book in which we emphasised that theories are abstractions of reality. Capital markets are made of individuals and as such it would not (or perhaps, should not) be surprising to find that the
Niall Ferguson clearly illustrates several economic principles and findings that are also illustrated in our Macroeconomics class. These concepts are seen in Episodes 5 and 6 of The Ascent of Money of money series. “Safe as Houses” and “A Financial History of The World” are both episodes that Ferguson uses to emphasize concepts that are also seen in our Macroeconomics. Some of the concepts that are seen in these episodes are property ownership and the finances that come with the ownership of property. Because of these two episodes it is easy for me to understand these concepts.
Biographers of Walpole, including historian J.H. Plumb, traditionally deny any role by Walpole in the South Sea Bubble. To display his inactive role in playing the stock market during the bubble, Plumb noted that Walpole had sold all of his stock in the South Sea Company by March 18, 1720, and did not invest in the company again until its height in June. Thus, he was not financially involved in the South Sea Company in the months that it grew the most. Compared with many of his fellow members of parliament, including Aislabie, Walpole was not heavily invested, nor did he demonstrate any better knowledge of the stock’s performance—which might have indicated insider knowledge—than anyone
From the late sixteenth century up until the end of eighteenth century, Dutch Republic attracted numerous migrants from other European countries (Van Lottum, 2007). The province Holland became a global center for trades, culture and science during this period, which is what we call “Dutch Golden Age” now. A reflection of the flourishing economy in Holland is the Dutch East India Company (VOC), which was sponsored by not only the government but also Dutch citizens. It raised 6.5 million guilders at that time about three million euros which were worth billions at the time. With the money, they started the company and overseas expansion. Moreover, in 1609, the first stock exchange was born in Amsterdam. The stockholders of VOC could convert their
Leyeles’ poem “Wall Street”, is from the perspective of Wall Street itself. It talks about how it has become one of the most powerful cities of all time. Its control of the American people is only to be rivaled with the control of Ashurbanipal, Alexander, Tamerlane, and Bonaparte. An obvious connection to Wall Street is what people go there for, money. In the first and third stanza, the color “yellow” comes up to describe money and how much of an influence it has over people.