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The Effects Of Credit Driven Bubble On The Great Depression

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These early bubbles were fuelled by what Mishkin describes as ‘irrational exuberance’. The bursting of such bubbles reduces output; however, the subsequent recovery is usually fast. In contrast, credit-driven bubbles are more problematic, involving a slower recovery as firms seek to deleverage. Credit-driven bubbles occur when ‘changes in financial markets stimulate the availability of credit, thereby increasing the demand for and prices of some assets’. This appreciation encourages further lending, as institutions become more willing to accept these assets as collateral. This feedback loop can induce a decline in lending standards as lenders believe borrowers will be able to rely on further appreciations to repay debts. A fall in prices reverses the loop, causing substantial financial stress. The most renowned example of a credit-driven bubble occurred in US stock and real-estate markets in the 1920’s. The bursting of the bubble in 1929 caused the Great Depression, triggering widespread bank failures and unemployment. A combination of increased margin lending for share purchases and sentiment created a bubble in Internet Stocks between 1997 and 2000. The NASDAQ composite index rose rapidly until 1999, however sharp falls occurred once the flawed business model of these companies became apparent. Real-Estate Bubbles Real-estate prices have a larger impact on aggregate expenditure compared to share prices. ‘Studies estimate a $1 increase in housing wealth increases

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