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The Great Barrier Reef

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Numerous diseases affect the world’s coral reefs, however the most prevalent at the current time is coral bleaching. With rising sea surface temperatures, the threat of disease has increased as well; organizations such as the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration are already monitoring conditions affecting these issues throughout the world’s oceans. Understanding how many reefs are currently affected as well as which areas are experiencing the highest severity of damage is highly important. The aim was to determine whether or not there was clustering of severe bleaching within a specified area. For this project, data was collected from numerous sources in order to cohesively study the severity of bleaching along the Great Barrier …show more content…

This particular reef is home to approximately 600 different hard and soft species of coral, 1,600 species of fish, 240 species of birds, 133 varieties of sharks and rays, and countless species of anemones, sponges, marine worms, and crustaceans (GBRMPA 2015). The reef comprises a contiguous latitudinal region between 10° S and 24° S, spans between 60 and 250 kilometers in width, and has an average depth of 35 meters, although at points reaches as far as 2,000 meters in depth (GBRMPA 2015). The average recorded temperature for the winter month’s ranges between 14° and 26° Celsius, for summer months the range is between 24° and 33° Celsius (NOAA 2015). Data was collected from ReefBase, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), ReefTemp, as well as the Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority (GBRMPA). ReefBase is a uses mapping software to monitor the health of worldwide coral reef systems, as well as the potential influencers that may affect their health. The website includes downloadable GIS data regarding sea surface temperature, coral bleaching severity, among information concerning other coral reef ailments and stressors. The map layers containing information about sea surface temperature between the years of 2003 and 2007 were …show more content…

The coral bleaching severity were assigned ranks between -1 (least severe) and 3 (most severe), the Global Moran’s I results came back as highly clustered. The mean severity across the locations was 1.2535, with a standard deviation of 1.2037, and contained 27 outlier locations. The Moran’s index resulted in a z-score of 30.185078, translating to a p-value far below 0.000001, meaning there is less than a 1% chance this clustering pattern was a random occurrence. The Getis-Ord Gi* results reaffirmed the presence of clustering among severe coral bleached reefs. When comparing the map depicting the ranked bleaching severity to the map depicting Moran’s I cluster data, the relationship is not overwhelming apparent. Reefs that are ranked as having a severity of 2 or higher are spread throughout the entire reef system, as where there are clearly defined clustering regions based off of the Moran’s I data. Temperature data provided by ReefBase shows high amount of change throughout the four-year period, this is consistent with thermal data provided by ReefTemp. The thermal data spans a total of 82 days during the winter months, the average recorded temperature was roughly 26° Celsius (ReefTemp 2013) which is two degrees higher than the upper threshold of average winter temperature data within the Great Barrier Reef (GBRMPA

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