Uncertainty as a Necessary Property of the Universe
There is a value in being uncertain about certainty; the value is seen in stress reduction, both in science/professional life as well as in day-to-day mundane life. The value also exists in the perpetuation or the drive for innovation. The common knee-jerk reaction to a presentation of uncertainty is to hold fear or contempt, but after some more careful consideration, uncertainty appears to be very important in nature. There are even ways to capitalize, or exploit, uncertainty for benefit.
In science or professional life, embracing uncertainty allows for loosened restrictions on modeling (not to be confused with gross negligence; not referring to introduced uncertainties), higher level induction via empirically determined boundary conditions, and boons in funding for research. The mathematical model only needs to apply to a specific set of conditions. As a scientist, you need not focus on a general model that accounts for all variables. Stresses involved when pressed for resources are then reduced because the focus can be deliberately placed on only the variables you are exploring, or validity of the model needs to be only with a specific set of conditions. The final model can yield nonsense acceptably when used outside the intended conditions. Additionally, boundary conditions can be identified leading to general evolution of systems. Sometimes boundary conditions lead you to the relative stabilities of sets of solutions
The idea about human to reconcile the uncertainties of the past with a new or present situation. Throughout the year I studied the texts about, novel 1984 by George Orwell, a film Good Will Hunting and Shakespeare's play Hamlet. In these texts because the characters' uncertainty about the past, they won’t succeed in future situations in their lives. I'm referring from the text of how these uncertainties can have an effect for these protagonists throughout the story until they reach tougher situations.
Firstly, Uncertainty reduction theory was written by Charles Berger, his theory focus on the way human predict and interact to others. His theory focused on two types of uncertainty and eight Atoms for uncertainty. According to Charles Uncertainty reduction theory is an increased knowledge of what kind of person another is, which provides an improved forecast of how a future interaction will turn out. In another word mean that communication is the key to form health relationship. As human we communicate to generally understand one another and to also reduction our uncertainty. I can apply uncertainty reduction theory to my love life, my first day at a new school, making new friends and meeting new people, new location, and I can also apply uncertainty reduction theory to my first job interview, and many other situation to my life.
When a state of probability remains undetermined, we often feel compelled to define it. We desire certainty, so we obtain it through whichever way we see fit, even when it is unattainable or harmful to do so. When we imagine
“Climate of Complete Certainty”, is an article written by Bret Stephens in which he attempts to convince his readers that science should not be treated with certitude. Stephens begins his article with an epigraph, a quote from the poet Czeslaw Milosz, in which Milosz states that those who declare that they are 100 percent right are not to be trusted. Stephens writes the article during a time when the United States is focused on only one thing: the 2017 presidential election. He begins to illustrate the distrust by providing evidence which criticizes Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign manager, who had absolute confidence in the arithmetic behind Clinton’s poll position. The manager failed to listen to those around him, and Stephens emphasizes
Throughout the first few paragraphs, Barry introduces the idea of diligence, which is the scientists' abilities to be careful and persistent in work. In the first few lines of the passage, the author features repetition, as well as a slight parallel structure; in lines 1-3, when the author is repeating and comparing "certainty" and "uncertainty", emphasizing the point that certainty and uncertainty are both equally required within the mind of a scientist; considering the concept that "certainty creates strength" and "uncertainty creates weakness. " Along with this, in line
Things will always be unknown unless we take risks. In Beowulf, our epic hero Beowulf takes a risk by helping out the Danes and killing the ferocious beast, Grendel. Another example of someone taking risks was when President Reagan stated that he encourages NASA to continue to attempt to send astronauts to space after The Challenger incident. Lastly, Oxitec took a risk when they made genetically modified mosquitoes. People take risks because they believe that the outcome will be extraordinary.
John M. Barry describes certainty as a way to “create strength” and “gives one something upon which to lean”. Uncertainty is something described as a way to “create weakness” and “makes one tentative if not fearful...may not overcome significant obstacles.” This opens up the essay to the audience so that they can have the ability to agree or disagree with the statements made in the first paragraph. He further on describes that being a scientist means to have “the courage to accept- indeed, embrace- uncertainty.” That’s why these statements were included in the first paragraph: to show that one major characteristic of scientist and scientific research is to be able to accept uncertainty/ the unknown.
The Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle states that no particle can have “well-defined” clear values for both position and speed; consequently, no particle can be stationary because any stationary particle would have a clearly defined speed value of zero. In the analogy presented by Gilmore, electrons are able to obtain loans of energy from their local bank, allowing them to exist. The energy they are loaned becomes their rest mass energy. This principle, perhaps, is the most difficult to compare to the macro world. The idea that there exists a quantity or measurement--for lack of a better word--that cannot be measured is difficult to reconcile with the average human mind. Though there exist equal realms of ambiguity and no definite in the macro world, such as justice and legality, or emotion and rationality (as provided by Gilmore), the notion of an immeasurable quantity is one many cannot grasp. This places the Heisenberg uncertainty Principle most at odds with the macro world, as in the real world, humans go about their existence with definite: For example, the bus will arrive to take a man to work at 09:05; a day is 24 hours long, America gained its independence in the year 1776, and there are 8 periods in our school day. That is to say, humans take solace in the definite of numbers--as a source of definite when all else is seemingly variable and perhaps even more so when everything
The idea of fear can be frightening! but the idea of prospering is another. Welcome Mrs Mackay and students today is the discussion of risks and rewards. I will discover wether a risks can be beneficial, or dangerous to us and if it is worth it. Well with the help of Wonder and The Happiest Refuge we can see from the examples provided if it is worth the pain. Mark Zuckerberg said “The only strategy that is guaranteed to fail is not taking risks” this statement from the millionaire of the company Facebook invites us into a discussion taking us into the true meaning of taking a risk and what us as humans can gain. I agree with this statement because as humans if you do not take a risk you’re not gaining anything for yourself while missing out on
Uncertainty reduction theory is “the point of view that uncertainty motivates communication and that certainty reduces the motivation to communicate” (Wood, definition). This theory was first developed by Charles Berger. He believed that when people are to meet for the first time they have a high level of uncertainty and the only way for them to reduce it is to communicate with one another. “They don’t know what each other likes, thinks and believes; how each other responds to certain reactions, and they’re unsure what each other expects or wants from interacting” (Wood,184). There are three prior conditions that are meant to help individuals want to reduce uncertainty.
Furthermore, there are three main aspects which were customarily associated with a science: metaphysical, theoretical and methodological assumptions. Under metaphysical it is believed that to gain scientific status requires the certainty that the subject matter i.e. human thought/ behaviour, is similar to that of other accepted sciences. This could then be true for Psychology, as particularly since Darwin’s suggestion of a continuity between behaviours of humans and other species, behaviour has become more scrutinised. However, this must be assumed in respect of determinism, suggesting predictions could be made. ‘Heisenbergs uncertainty principle’ suggests that when relating evidence of indeterminism within the universe to human behaviour, it proves ambiguous, and with parts of the discipline believing strongly in free will it seems difficult to establish a common ground (Valentine E.R. page 2).
The word “risk” means the possibility of suffering a harmful event. Risk taking can bring either positive or negative result because anytime we take risks in life, there is a possibility of loss which can cause tension. There are a lot of people who take big risks and appear not to be affected by them. But, many of us feel very uneasy when faced with risk-taking; we may become worried about the risk. Although some people are content in life by just playing it safe and not courting any
In Conclusion Is it better to take risks and perhaps make some mistakes or remain cautious and risk nothing? Well, it’s good to take risks because it helps people sometimes it benefits you and it makes you feel like a hero sometimes like when you risk your life for the president, people will remember you as a hero. Maybe some people take risk to do bad
In every decision making, there is said to be a positive and negative outcome as future consequence(s).
The fourth dimension called Uncertainty Avoidance aims at the way people try to get a