What Big Economics Got Right, Or Wrong, After Crises?

Using quantitative easing has helped the recovery of the USA and other developing countries. The Fed’s then limited their ability to pursue more measures, but congress ignored those appeals to help support the economy. The Fed’s decided to use smaller steps to help investor expectations and to prevent a possible financial crisis in Europe. In 2011 it was announced that the FED’s would hold short-term interest rates close to zero percent through 2013; to help support the economy. Soon after it was announced that using the “twist” operation would push long-term interest rates down, by purchasing $400 billion in long-term treasury securities with profits from the sale of the short-term government debt. Inaugurating a policy to help shape market expectations, which will raise interest rates at the end of 2014.

The world has encountered two major economic slumps since World War I. The Great Depression was the longest financial crisis witnessed by the modern world. It started at around October 29th, 1929 and lasted up to the beginning of the Second World War in 1939 (Temin 301). The great depression was by far the worst and longest economic crisis ever recorded in modern history, until towards the end of 2007. The next economic crisis that would be comparable to the Great Depression occurred in the late 2000s, precisely between December 2007 and June 2009 (Roberts 1). It would be popularly referred to as the Great Recession. The Great Depression and the Great Recession were undoubtedly similar in multiple ways. This paper aims at comparing these two great economic crises by highlighting their similarities. This paper answers the question ‘How similar were the failures of the financial markets during the great depression

How has growth changed since the Great Recession? How has monetary policy around the world changed since then? Should central bankers seek to return monetary practices back to the old normal or adapt to new

In this essay, I will briefly explain what happened during the financial crisis of 2007-09, and also discuss the contribution of the government to the financial crisis.

Japan’s unemployment rate of about 4% opposed to the U.S. unemployment rate of close to 10%. Even the financial debt to GDP ration is an advantage, and debt in the private sector has not increased unlike the U.S. and European countries, (Time, 2009). In addition, since Japan is a huge exporter and with the U.S. demand going downward, the international balances and growth declined especially as the dollar value dropped and the yen surged. •

During the financial crisis, the Fed’s monetary policy and the Treasury’s fiscal policy were both expansionary and thus essentially complementary to each other. Both policies aimed at stimulating the economic activities and stabilizing the credit market and the entire financial system. During the crisis, the inflation rate dropped significantly as the commodity prices plummeted, which freed the Fed from worrying about inflation risk. The foreign investors poured their money into the U.S. Treasury, allowing the U.S. government to borrow at extremely low interest rates. The various actions taken by the Treasury and the Fed served to work together to address the problems which were critical to save the U.S. financial system from collapse and to end the most severe recession since the Great Depression.

“Since 2007 to mid 2009, global financial markets and systems have been in the grip of the worst financial crisis since the depression era of the late 1920s. Major Banks in the U.S., the U.K. and Europe have collapsed and been bailed out by state aid”. (Valdez and Molyneux, 2010) Identify the main macroeconomic and microeconomic causes that resulted in the above-mentioned crisis and make an assessment of the success or otherwise of the actions taken by the U.K government to resolve the problem.

The Federal Reserve went into action in response to the 2008 recession by rapidly reducing interest rates with the hopes of encouraging economic growth. The federal funds target rate was decreased to between zero and .25 percent. The results of the rate changes caused what is called “zero bound”, this reduced the effectiveness of monetary policy with the near non-existence of interest rates.

The “Great Recession” is commonly used to explain the massive economic contraction that occurred in the United States during the fourth quarter of 2007. However, the actions of the United States spanned to other nations, leaving massive effect on the global economy. One nation that took on serious financial burden during this recession was the United Kingdom. This nation first faced the effects of the Great Recession beginning in the first quarter of 2008. Overall, the initial mass effects on the nation can be attributed to the nation’s reliance on the financial sector. In fact, after partially stabilizing in 2009, the country struggled with a double-dip recession between 2010-12, and continues to struggle with some of these effects.

“All parenting manuals tell parents to maintain credibility and to set fair and firm rules. Most parents attempt to do so. But as all, or at least most, parents know, sometimes exceptions are necessary. Not all contingencies can be planned for.” Analogous to that, as the author, David Colander, points out is that policies can be created but there can be exceptions to any policy. To begin with, let’s consider the problem that arises from the fact that there is no oversight in the Federal Reserve. In other words, the Fed can do what it wants, i.e. increase or decrease the money supply, because of the discretion it has; almost like saying that police officers have no guidelines to follow and can do whatever they want with all the power their given. Second, the problem that arises out of the fact that the Fed assumes there is only one interest rate; however, there are various different types of interest rates. So this becomes a problem in the short-run but not necessarily in the long run, after the interest rates have averaged out. This means that consumer borrowing (or when banks lend money) they’ll do so differently because of the different interest rates that do exist. Third, exists with what I mentioned about the short-term and long-term effects; essentially, inflation,

As interest rates bottomed out quickly after the onset of the recession, the Federal Reserve could no longer stimulate the economy with traditional and time-tested techniques. The controversial and unconventional method chosen by the Federal Reserve, and other central banks around the world, is known as “quantitative easing” (QE). QE functions by injecting large amounts of reserve capital into commercial banks with the hope that those banks will then be willing to lend the money at affordable interest rates. Ideally, the addition to economic activity affected by the influx of capital to banks should keep the value of the dollar relatively low, avoiding deflation and encouraging foreign investment by those wishing to take advantage of an affordable dollar. The cheaper dollar should also make American exports look more attractive to potential consumers in other countries. If interest rates stay low, and banks begin lending again, consumer and investor confidence should hopefully rise, leading to more spending and thus, economic growth.

Therefore, the quantitative easing adopted from 2009 was trying to gradually resume sustainable economic growth. Quantitative easing has helped to avert what could have been a second great depression (Wall Street, 2011). The US economy has been clawing its way out of the recession in 2009 and recovery has been slow compared to previous economic cycles. Regular review of the pace of securities purchase by the Federal reserve and the overall size of asset-purchase program in light of incoming information and adjusting the program as need be will help foster maximum employment and price stability.

The Central Banks of the world have a role in today’s society to provide stability to the economy. Through monetary policy, the Central Banks must utilize the daily economic data in order to make policy decisions that attempt to ensure continuous growth and prosperity. The Central Banks do this through regulating inflation as well as “implementing specific goals such as currency stability, low inflation and full employment” (Heakal). In 2008 the global financial crisis hit numerous nations around the world and each Central Bank saw their economies crash, consumers lose market confidence, investors stop investing, and banks stop lending. If the money stops circulating in the economy “banks [can’t] provide customers with a variety of basic financial services; [such as] an on-demand source of bank notes; deposits and savings accounts; payment services; and … credit, to both business and households” (Fisher 2). The credit crunch was experienced throughout the world and each Central Bank laid out their plans in order to halt and begin recovering from the crisis and set the economy back to a stable 2% inflation. Along with The Federal Reserve, the Bank of England’s conventional attempts at restoring the economy never had enough of an impact to jump start the economy. An unconventional crisis called for unconventional resolutions. The Bank of England turned to unconventional monetary policies when all else failed. The utilization of the practice of quantitative easing and

Monetary policy involves manipulating the interest rate charged by the central bank for lending money to the banking system in an economy, which influences greatly a vast number of macroeconomic variables. In the UK, the government set the policy targets, but the Bank of England and the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) are given authority and freedom to set interest rates, which is formally once every month. Contractionary monetary policy may be used to reduce price inflation by increasing the interest rate. Because banks have to pay more to borrow from the central bank they will increase the interest rates they charge their own customers for loans to recover the increased cost. Banks will also raise interest rates to encourage people to save more in bank deposit accounts so they can reduce their own borrowing from the central bank. As interest rates rise, consumers may save more and borrow less to spend on goods and services. Firms may also reduce the amount of money they borrow to invest in new equipment. A

The manner in which US Federal & other central banks of advanced countries are shaping their monetary policies in order to avoid another economic downturn, is going to precisely result in that – claimed Mr. Raghuram Rajan, RBI Governor at LBS last week1 (Refer Box-1). The practice of zero-lower-bound interest rates of Fed and ECB in order to fuel industrial growth is unconventional and exposing other markets as well to the macro-economic risks. While saying this, Mr. Rajan also ensures to sound confident on the prospects of India and Indian Banks despite the external influences like these.