A hospital is examining a new detection kit for pancreatic cancer. The results of an early clinical trial show that the kit yields a positive result for 98% of patients that have pancreatic cancer. Furthermore, when tested on healthy individuals, the kit yields a negative result in 97% of cases. Suppose pancreatic cancer has an incidence rate of 1% in the population. If the kit yields a positive result for a person, what is the probability that he/she actually has pancreatic cancer?

Holt Mcdougal Larson Pre-algebra: Student Edition 2012
1st Edition
ISBN:9780547587776
Author:HOLT MCDOUGAL
Publisher:HOLT MCDOUGAL
Chapter11: Data Analysis And Probability
Section11.8: Probabilities Of Disjoint And Overlapping Events
Problem 2C
icon
Related questions
Topic Video
Question

A hospital is examining a new detection kit for pancreatic cancer. The results of an early clinical trial show that the kit yields a positive result for 98% of patients that have pancreatic cancer. Furthermore, when tested on healthy individuals, the kit yields a negative result in 97% of cases. Suppose pancreatic cancer has an incidence rate of 1% in the population. If the kit yields a positive result for a person, what is the probability that he/she actually has pancreatic cancer?

Expert Solution
trending now

Trending now

This is a popular solution!

steps

Step by step

Solved in 2 steps

Blurred answer
Knowledge Booster
Discrete Probability Distributions
Learn more about
Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, statistics and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.
Recommended textbooks for you
Holt Mcdougal Larson Pre-algebra: Student Edition…
Holt Mcdougal Larson Pre-algebra: Student Edition…
Algebra
ISBN:
9780547587776
Author:
HOLT MCDOUGAL
Publisher:
HOLT MCDOUGAL
College Algebra
College Algebra
Algebra
ISBN:
9781337282291
Author:
Ron Larson
Publisher:
Cengage Learning