A production machine could be assigned the states “operating” and “breakdown”. The transition probabilities reflecting the probabilities of a machine’s either breaking down or operating in the next day is shown in the table below: Day one Day two   Operating Breakdown Operating 0.90 0.10 Breakdown 0.70 0.30 Given that the machine is initially operating, determine the probability that it is working in fourth day.                                                                                           Determine the steady state probabilities for each state of the machine.

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  1. A production machine could be assigned the states “operating” and “breakdown”. The transition probabilities reflecting the probabilities of a machine’s either breaking down or operating in the next day is shown in the table below:

Day one

Day two

 

Operating

Breakdown

Operating

0.90

0.10

Breakdown

0.70

0.30

  • Given that the machine is initially operating, determine the probability that it is working in fourth day.                                                                                          
  • Determine the steady state probabilities for each state of the machine. 
  1. COVID Ventures Limited manufactures and sells two interdependent drugs, namely, COVID-1 and COVID-2. The demand functions for the drugs are given by and where P1 is the unit price of COVID-1 and P2 is the unit price of COVID-2, x and y are the number of units in millions sold for COVID-1 and COVID-2 respectively. The total cost of producing both products is given by the function .

              Required

  1. i) Derive the total revenue and total profit functions for COVID Ventures Limited

                                                                                                                           

  1. ii)  Determine the number of units of each drug required to maximize the profit.

              iii) Compute the maximum profit.

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