A restaurant manager with analyzing records of the last 6 weeks summarizes the daily demand figures in terms of the number of meals served as follows (Please fill the empty cells of the following table): Weeks Number of Meals 3-periods Moving Average [Actual - Forecast] (Actual - Forecast)2 1 60 -- -- -- 2 96 -- -- -- 3 103 -- -- -- 4 61 5 122 6 101 1. Which one of the following is closest to the forecast of the next week ( F7 ) for the number of meals to be served daily using the 3-periods moving average method ? a)143 b)95 c)57 d)62 2. Which one of the following is closest to the forecast error ( in terms of MAD ) for the weeks 4, 5 and 6 using the 3-periods moving average method ? a)22 b)29 c)30 d)24 3. What is the forecast error ( in terms of MSE ) for the weeks 4, 5 and 6 using the 3-periods moving average method ? a)641 b)577 c)705 d)897

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter10: Introduction To Simulation Modeling
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 41P: At the beginning of each week, a machine is in one of four conditions: 1 = excellent; 2 = good; 3 =...
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A restaurant manager with analyzing records of the last 6 weeks summarizes the daily demand figures in terms of the number of meals served as follows (Please fill the empty cells of the following table):

Weeks

Number of Meals

3-periods

Moving Average

[Actual - Forecast]

 (Actual - Forecast)2

1

60 

--

--

--

2

96

--

--

--

3

103

-- 

 --

 --

4

61

 

 

 

5

122

 

 

 

6

101

 

 

 

 

1. Which one of the following is closest to the forecast of the next week ( F7 ) for the number of meals to be served daily using the 3-periods moving average method ?

a)143  b)95 c)57 d)62

2. Which one of the following is closest to the forecast error ( in terms of MAD ) for the weeks 4, 5 and 6 using the 3-periods moving average method ?

a)22  b)29  c)30  d)24


3.
What is the forecast error ( in terms of MSE ) for the weeks 4, 5 and 6 using the 3-periods moving average method ?

a)641  b)577  c)705  d)897

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