A salesperson for a medical device company has two appointments on a given da At the first appointment, he believes that he has a 70% chance to make the deal, from which he can earn $1000 commission if successful. On the other hand, he thinks he only has a 40% chance to make the deal at the second appointment, from which, if successful, he can make S1500. What is his expected commission based on his own probability belief? Assume that the appointment results are independent of each other.

Essentials of Business Analytics (MindTap Course List)
2nd Edition
ISBN:9781305627734
Author:Jeffrey D. Camm, James J. Cochran, Michael J. Fry, Jeffrey W. Ohlmann, David R. Anderson
Publisher:Jeffrey D. Camm, James J. Cochran, Michael J. Fry, Jeffrey W. Ohlmann, David R. Anderson
Chapter6: Statistical Inference
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A salesperson for a medical device company has two appointments on a given day.
At the first appointment, he believes that he has a 70% chance to make the deal,
from which he can earn $1000 commission if successful. On the other hand, he
thinks he only has a 40% chance to make the deal at the second appointment,
from which, if successful, he can make $1500. What is his expected commission
based on his own probability belief? Assume that the appointment results are
independent of each other.
A $1900
$1100
$1300
$1500
Transcribed Image Text:A salesperson for a medical device company has two appointments on a given day. At the first appointment, he believes that he has a 70% chance to make the deal, from which he can earn $1000 commission if successful. On the other hand, he thinks he only has a 40% chance to make the deal at the second appointment, from which, if successful, he can make $1500. What is his expected commission based on his own probability belief? Assume that the appointment results are independent of each other. A $1900 $1100 $1300 $1500
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