ABU BAKAR Bed and Breakfast, in a small historic Melaka town, must decide how to subdivide (remodel) the large old home that will become its inn. There are three alternatives: Option A would modernized all baths and combine rooms, leaving the inn with four suites, each suitbale for two to four adults. Option B would modernized only the second floor; the results would be six suites, four for two to four adults, two for two adults only. Option C (the status quo option) leaves all wall intact. In this case, there are eight rooms available, but only two are suitable for four adults, and four rooms will not have private baths. The details of profit and demand patterns that will shows each option are: Table 1: Profit and probability information for each alternative [Jadual 1: Maklumat keuntungan dan kebarangkalian setiap alternatif.]   Annual Profit Under Various Demand Patterns [Keuntungan tahunan dibawah pelbagai permintaan] Alternatives [Alternatif] High [Tinggi] Probability [Kebarangkalian] Average [Sederhana] Probability [Kebarangkalian] A (modernized all) RM100,000 0.5 RM35,000 0.5 B (modernized 2nd) RM90,000 0.4 RM80,000 0.6 C (status quo) RM70,000 0.3 RM65,000 0.7   Compute the expected monetary value (EMV) for all alternatives. Analyse which alternatives is the best decision criterion.

Linear Algebra: A Modern Introduction
4th Edition
ISBN:9781285463247
Author:David Poole
Publisher:David Poole
Chapter2: Systems Of Linear Equations
Section2.4: Applications
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ABU BAKAR Bed and Breakfast, in a small historic Melaka town, must decide how to subdivide (remodel) the large old home that will become its inn. There are three alternatives: Option A would modernized all baths and combine rooms, leaving the inn with four suites, each suitbale for two to four adults. Option B would modernized only the second floor; the results would be six suites, four for two to four adults, two for two adults only. Option C (the status quo option) leaves all wall intact. In this case, there are eight rooms available, but only two are suitable for four adults, and four rooms will not have private baths. The details of profit and demand patterns that will shows each option are:

Table 1: Profit and probability information for each alternative

[Jadual 1: Maklumat keuntungan dan kebarangkalian setiap alternatif.]

 

Annual Profit Under Various Demand Patterns

[Keuntungan tahunan dibawah pelbagai permintaan]

Alternatives

[Alternatif]

High

[Tinggi]

Probability

[Kebarangkalian]

Average

[Sederhana]

Probability

[Kebarangkalian]

A (modernized all)

RM100,000

0.5

RM35,000

0.5

B (modernized 2nd)

RM90,000

0.4

RM80,000

0.6

C (status quo)

RM70,000

0.3

RM65,000

0.7

 

  1. Compute the expected monetary value (EMV) for all alternatives.
  2. Analyse which alternatives is the best decision criterion.
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