An insurance company charges a customer an annual premium of $1200 to I insure a car against theft. In the event of theft a payment of $15 000 will be made to the customer. The probability of theft is empirically estimated to be 0.02. (a) (b) Find the expected value of the insurance policy to the customer. Find the premium which should be charged if the policy is to be fair.
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- Question 2An investor is to purchase one of three types of real estate, as illustrated inFigure below. The investor must decide among an apartment building, anoffice building, and a warehouse. The future states of nature that willdetermine how much profit the investor will make are good economicconditions and poor economic conditions. The profits that will result fromeach decision in the event of each state of nature are shown in Table below: Assume that it is now possible to estimate a probability of 0.60 that goodeconomic conditions will exist and a probability of .40 that poor economicconditions will exist. a) Determine the best decision by using expected opportunity loss. b) Develop a decision tree, with expected values at the probability nodes. c) Compute the expected value of perfect information.Probability Possible Rate of Return 0.25 -0.10 0.15 0.00 0.35 0.10 0.25 0.25 a. Under what conditions can the standard deviation be used to measure the relative risk of two investments? b. Under what conditions must the coefficient of variation (CoVar) be used to measure the relative risk of two investments?Suppose that there are two types of workers: high and low. Employers cannot distinguish between different types during an interview. Employers value high type at $200,000 and low type at $100,000. Employers are in a competitive market (i.e. zero profit applies). High type workers have a reservation wage of 140,000 and low type workers have a reservation wage of 80,000. Suppose that 50% of all workers are high type. The productivities, reservation wages, and the probabilities are common knowledge). What wage would the employers offer? Please explain the solution!
- The data from 200 machined parts are summarizedas follows:y yesdepth of boreE, noabovebelowedge conditioncoarsetarget15target10moderatesmooth25205080(a) What is the probability that a part selected has a moderateedge condition and a below-target bore depth?(b) What is the probability that a part selected has a moderateedge condition or a below-target bore depth?(c) What is the probability that a part selected does not have amoderate edge condition or does not have a below-targetbore depth?(d) Construct a Venn diagram representation of the events inthis sample space.It is sometimes said that, "Those who gamble the most are the ones who can least afford to lose." These people gamble because Group of answer choices the gambler has no family to consider if he/she dies. there is utility other than monetary to consider. the EMV is positive. the EMV is negative21 Los Angeles averages 266.5 sunny days per year. What is probability that Boston has at least as many sunny days as Los Angeles? a 0.0020 b 0.0031 c 0.0047 d 0.0073
- If patient insurance inquiries arrive at Blue Choice insurance with a mean rate of 3.6 calls per minute, the exponential probability of waiting more than 0.5 minutes to get the next inquiry call is _____. Question 6Select one: a. 0.2407 b. 0.1222 c. 0.5000 d. 0.1653The project manager of Good Public Relations gatheredthe data shown in Table 7.15 for a new advertisingcampaign.a. How long is the project likely to take? b. What is the probability that the project will take more than38 weeks?c. Consider the path A–E–G–H–J. What is the probability thatthis path will exceed 38 weeks?An insurance company would like to offer theft insurance for renters. The policy wouldpay the full replacement value of any items that were stolen from the apartment. Someapartments have security alarms installed. Such systems detect a break-in and ring an alarmwithin the apartment. The insurance company estimates that the probability of a theft in ayear is .05 if there is no security system and .01 if there is a security system (there cannot bemore than one theft in any year). An apartment with a security system costs the renter anadditional £50 per year. Assume that the loss from a theft is £10,000 and that the insurancecompany is risk neutral and the renter would be willing to pay more than the expected loss toinsure against the loss of theft. What is the insurance company's break even price for a one year theft insurance policy for anapartment without a security system?
-  Time remaining: 01 :51 :45 Economics A dealer decides to sell an antique automobile by means of an English auction with a reservation price of $900. There are two bidders. The dealer believes that there are only three possible values, $7,200, $3,600, and $900, that each bidder’s willingness to pay might take. Each bidder has a probability of 1/3 of having each of these willingnesses to pay, and the probabilities for each of the two bidders are independent of the other’s valuation. Assuming that the two bidders bid rationally and do not collude, the dealer’s expected revenue from selling the car is approximately Group of answer choices $3,600. $2,500. $3,900. $5,400. $7,200.2.4 The opening 2018 World Cup odds against being the winning team specified by espn.com were 9/2 for Germany, 5/1 for Brazil, 11/2 for France, 20/1 for England, and 7/1 for Spain. Find the corresponding prior probabilities of winning for these five teams.The owner of Tastee Cookies needs to decide whether to lease a small, medium, or large new retail outlet. She estimates that monthly profits will vary with demand for her cookies as follows: SIZE OFOUTLET DEMAND LOW HIGH Small $ 1,000 1,000 Medium 500 2,500 Large 0 3,000 For what range of probability that demand will be high, will she decide to lease the medium facility?