As an expert in field of banking operations, you were asked to put the criteria of choosing the new location a- If you were asked to choose a mechanism for forecasting the number of transactions per day, what would be the methodology that you will use to decide such forecasting method and what do you think this method may be?
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ABC Bank is thinking of opening a new branch in a certain city besides its existing branches due to
customers’ complaints of long waiting lines and distant of existing branches from them. As an expert
in field of banking operations, you were asked to put the criteria of choosing the new location
a- If you were asked to choose a mechanism for
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- Under what conditions might a firm use multiple forecasting methods?Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. Ethical decisions that affect a buyers ethical perspective usually involve the organizational environment, cultural environment, personal environment, and industry environment. Analyze this scenario using these four variables.Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What should Sharon do in this situation?
- Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What does the Institute of Supply Management code of ethics say about financial conflicts of interest?2. A major airline uses an airport in a large city as a hub for its connecting flights. Each day the airline faces a number of claims from its passengers who lost their baggage. The number of lost baggage claims in the last 14 days have been 67, 25, 57, 58, 35, 29, 77, 44, 38, 36, 23, 69, 53, and 45 a. Use moving average method with N = 3 to forecast the expected number of claims for tomorrow. b. Use exponential smoothing method with parameter α = 0.7 to forecast the number of lost baggage claims that the airline should expect in the next 2 days. c. If the criterion for accuracy is the mean squared error (MSE), which of the forecasting methods in parts (a) and (b) are preferred? d. If you become in charge of providing forecasts for the number of claims in the next 2 days using exponential smoothing method, what would be your point and 90-percent prediction interval forecasts for the number of claims in each of the next 2 days? Use MSE as your evaluation criterion.Four partners in a big consulting firm try to estimate the number of new recruits neededfor the next year. Their forecasts are 32, 44, 21, and 51, respectively. What would be theresult of a simple forecast combination?
- Forecasting Forecasting is important relative to capacity requirements planning. What are some of the merits of using judgment methods (i.e., qualitative data) in contrast to quantitative forecasting methods. Which methods are considered to be superior or more accurate, and in what forecast situations would require judgment methods? In what situations would require a quantitative approach to forecasting?Tom’s Towing LLC operates a fleet of tow trucks that it sends to help drivers in needon the nearby highway. The numbers of calls requesting a tow truck for Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday were 27, 18, 21, and 15, respectively. What would be itsforecast for Friday using a naïve forecasting approach?ABC Company manufacture passenger cars for Malaysian customers. The sales volume is shown in Table 1. Table 1: The sales volume Period (Month) Sales Volume of Passenger Cars 1 8000 2 9500 3 7000 4 6500 5 8100 6 8600 7 9000 8 7800 9 7600 a) Based on Table 1, calculate forecast volume using and 5 periods-moving average. b) Based on Table 1, calculate forecast volume using exponential smoothing with α = 0.6. c) Evaluate which forecasting method is better between 5 periods- moving average and exponential smoothing with α = 0.6.
- Forecasting is critical in modern times. It is believed that it started as a consequence of the great depression of the 1930s. Business organizations manifested more concern with anticipating the future, and as a consequence, a number of highly successful consulting firms emerged to provide forecasting help for governments and businesses. Required: i. Explain the importance and use of a forecasting in organisations ii. List the various variables that modern forecasters apply in their forecasting, and explain why these are usedTOC/ Tunis Oil Co. started 4 months ago. TOC noticed that its production increased significantly. Production reported was: 5, 7, 20, 90 Liters respectively over the past 4 months. OTC estimated weights for past 4 months were: 0.2, 0.3, 0.1, 0.4. OTC is seeking your help to forecast its production for the following cycle.IN THE MID-1960S, WALT DISNEY’S DREAM was to build a family resort destination like no other. The dream became a reality when Walt Disney World Resort opened in 1971, featuring Magic Kingdom as the centerpiece. Today, millions of guests visit the Walt Disney World Resort each year to experience the world-class theme parks and hotels. Analytics feature prominently in the operations of Walt Disney World. Explain using illustrations how forecasting features in this company’s operations. Explain at least four methods of forecasting that can be used for Disney’s purpose.
