Assume that the payoff table provides cost rather than profit payoffs. What is the recommended decision using: Optimistic, Conservative, Minmax Regret, And Laplace Method
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Assume that the payoff table provides cost rather than profit payoffs. What is the recommended decision using: Optimistic, Conservative, Minmax Regret, And Laplace Method
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- The following payoff table shows profit for a decision analysis problem with two decision alternatives and three states of nature.A multinational corporation is considering starting a subsidiary in an Asiancountry. Management realizes that the success of the new subsidiary depends, in part,on the ensuing political climate in the target country. Management estimates that theprobability of success (in terms of resulting revenues of the subsidiary during its firstyear of operation) is 0.55 if the prevailing political situation is favorable, 0.30 if thepolitical situation is neutral, and 0.10 if the political situation during the year is unfavorable. Management further believes that the probabilities of favorable, neutral, andunfavorable political situations are 0.6, 0.2, and 0.2, respectively. What is the successprobability of the new subsidiary?A researcher is interested in understanding how the flexibility of vacation policies at a company influence employee satisfaction with their job. Company 1, Vance Refrigeration, has a 2 week vacation policy in which employees can take those 2 weeks at any time during the year. Company 2, Dunder Mifflin Paper Company, has a 2 week vacation policy in which employees can only take vacation days during specific pre-approved times of year. How could the confound be fixed for Scenario A? Be sure to tell me what technique you are using (constancy, repeated measures, randomization, elimination, or balancing), as well as how you would apply that technique to this specific scenario, and how that would fix this confound.
- A researcher is interested in understanding how the flexibility of vacation policies at a company influence employee satisfaction with their job. Company 1, Vance Refrigeration, has a 2 week vacation policy in which employees can take those 2 weeks at any time during the year. Company 2, Dunder Mifflin Paper Company, has a 2 week vacation policy in which employees can only take vacation days during specific pre-approved times of year. What is the confound?An insurance company offers four different deductible levels—none, low, medium, and high—for its homeowner’s policyholders and three different levels—low, medium, and high—for its automobile policyholders. The accompanying table gives proportions for the various categories of policyholders who have both types of insurance. For example, theproportion of individuals with both low homeowner’s deductible and low auto deductible is .06 (6% of all such individuals).Suppose an individual having both types of policies is randomly selected.a. What is the probability that the individual has a medium auto deductible and a high homeowner’s deductible?b. What is the probability that the individual has a low auto deductible? A low homeowner’s deductible?c. What is the probability that the individual is in the same category for both auto and homeowner’s deductibles?d. Based on your answer in part (c), what is the probability that the two categories are different?e. What is the probability that the…Suppose that a healthy person has 10% chance of getting sick that would require $40,000 of medical expenses. Suppose that unhealthy person has a 60% chance of getting sick that would require $100,000 in medical expenses. A) What would be an actuarially fair premium for a healthy person? B) What would be an actuarially fair premium for unhealthy person? C) If everyone has to buy health insurance and 20% of the population are unhealthy and 80% of the population are health, what would be an actuarially fair premium for any person?
- What is price discrimination? Under what conditions are firms able to exercise price discrimination? Are consumers better off or worse off when they face a price discriminating monopolist rather than a simple monopolist? Why?Suggest at least one consumer good or service for which in the last 10 to 15 years consumers preference has actually increased, and still, the price has decreased. Than discuss the possible reasons for the decrease in the price of the suggested good or service.Data on the 4000 largest mutual funds shows which funds provided a high 5-year return and a high 10-year return. Of the 4000 mutualfunds surveyed, 3000 funds had a high 5-year return, 2000 had a high 10-yearreturn, and 1500 had both a high 5-year return and a high 10-year return Given that a mutual fund had a high 5-year return, what is theprobability of a mutual fund having a high 10-year return?
- Explain with all necessary mathematical details as how would you determine the risk-neutral geometric Brownian motion price of an up-and-out European barrier option using the multiperiod binomial model?A company that sells digital devices has its stores in several cities in Albania. The Marketing Manager plans to transmite an advertisement for the digital camera product on local television and watch sales of that product, to see the link that exists with the number of ads transmitted and product sales. After two days, the results were presented in the following table: City Trasmitted Sales(in 000 Euro) Durrës 4 15 Sarandë 2 8 Fier 5 21 Berat 6 24 Lezhë 3 17 S S = 1.58 S = 6.1 a) What is the dependent variable?b) Construct the scatterdiagram of this connection.c) Calculate the coefficient of variation and the coefficient of determination.d) Interpret the relationship between two variables.e) What is the equation that connects these two variables? Explain the values for a and b.f) What is the expected level of sales if 10 ads are trasmittedAn insurance company offers four different deductible levels-none,low, medium, and high-for its homeowner's policyholders and threedifferent levels-low, medium, and high-for its automobilepolicyholders. The accompanying table gives proportions for the variouscategories of policyholders who have both types of insurance. Forexample, the proportion of individuals with both low homeowner'sdeductible and low auto deductible is .06 (6% of all such individuals). Homeowner's Auto N L M H LMH .04.07.02 .06.10.03 .05.20.15 .03.10.15 Suppose an individual having both types of policies is randomlyselected.a. What is the probability that the individual has a medium auto deductible and a high homeowner's deductible?b. What is the probability that the individual has a low autodeductible? A low homeowner's deductible?c. What is the probability that the individual is in the samecategory for both auto and homeowner's deductibles?d. Based on your answer in part (c), what is the probability…