Assume we are using an extreme value model to estimate VaR and cVaR of potential losses L with u = 300. We have estimated the EV parameters as € = 0.50 and ß = 60. Assume that n = 500 and nu = 0.95. n a. Compute the 99 % VaR and cVaR. b. Compute the 99.6% VaR and cVaR c. Compute the standard error of the 99 VaR estimated in part (a). Compute the standard error of the 99.6% VaR estimated in part (b). d.
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- Assume that an investment is expected to generate the following returns: a 10% chance of a $1,400 return, a 50% chance of a $6,600 return, and a 40% chance of a $1,500 return. What is the expected rate of return on this investment? Note: The solution must be displayed on an Excel sheet using Excel functions such as =PV(...) and =FV(...) etc.suppose you have BWP 6000 AND ARE WILLING TO ACCEPT RISK AS LONg s your utility (satisfaction) does not decrease by more than 5 units.Will you invest in a product where you may make BWP 2000 BUT AT HTE SAME TIME STAND TO LOOSE bwp 1000?The Ulrich Corporation is trying to choose between the following two mutually exclusive design projects. If the required rate of return is 10%, which of the following statements is correct? (a) Select A2 because it has a higher PI.(b) Select A2 because it has a higher RO R. (c) Select Al because its incremental PI exceeds 1.(d) Not enough information to decide.
- Imagine a situation where there is a 40% chance of a $100 loss, a 40% chance of a $50 gain, and a 20% chance of a $350 gain. What is the expected value of this risky situation? Give typing answer with explanation and conclusionI asked this question before, and got an answer, but I have a question about the response that was given. The original question was: For an initial investment of 100, an investment yields returns of X1 and X2, where X1 and X2 are independent normal random variables with mean 60 and variance 25. What is the probability that the rate of return of this investment is greater than 10%? In the answer that was given it says that the gain of the investment is X1+X2. My question is why can we just group those together as one amount? I was given a formula in my class that says the return on the investment would be the solution to the equation: -100+ X1/(1+r) + X2/(1+r)2=0. If this formula is used, a different solution would result for this problem.If the cost for unit 100 in a unit theory learning curve scenario is $7.5M (FY15$), and the learning curve is 85.5%, what cost would you expect unit #400 to be? (disregard inflation) Show your work! (Hint: There is an easy way and a harder way to do this!) What cost would you expect unit #650 to be? (disregard inflation). (Yes, this should be done differently!)
- In the computation above, the pretax Savings is $278,400 but I see that Cell G4, H4, and I4 is linked to Salvage Value. I am confused.The following payoff table shows profit for a decision analysis problem with two decision alternatives and three states of nature: State of Nature Decision Alternative S1 S2 S3 d1 200 150 150 d2 250 150 100 The probabilities for the states of nature are P(s1) = 0.55, P(s2) = 0.25, and P(s3) = 0.2. (a) What is the optimal decision strategy if perfect information were available? S1 : S2 : S3 : (b) What is the expected value for the decision strategy developed in part (a)? If required, round your answer to one decimal place. (c) Using the expected value approach, what is the recommended decision without perfect information? What is its expected value? If required, round your answer to one decimal place. (d) What is the expected value of perfect information? If required, round your answer to one decimal place.Suppose a new production method will be implemented if a hypothesis test supports the conclusion that the new method reduces the mean operating cost per hour. State the appropriate null and alternative hypotheses if the mean cost for the current production method is $220 per hour. What is the Type I error in this situation? What are the consequences of making this error? What is the Type II error in this situation? What are the consequences of making this error?
- The following profit payoff table was presented in Problem 1: The probabilities for the states of nature are P(s1) = 0.65, P(s2) = 0.15, and P(s3) = 0.20. What is the optimal decision strategy if perfect information were available? What is the expected value for the decision strategy developed in part (a)? Using the expected value approach, what is the recommended decision without perfect information? What is its expected value? What is the expected value of perfect information?Assume that Allied’s average project has a coefficient of variation (CV) in the range of 1.25 to 1.75.Would the lemon juice project be classified as high risk, average risk, or low risk? What type of risk isbeing measured here?1. What is sensitivity analysis? 2. Perform a sensitvity analysis on the unit sales, salvage value, and WACC for a project. Assume that each of these variables deviates from its base-case, or expected value by plus or minus 10%, 20%, and 30%.The base case value for unit sales is 150,000. Calculate NPV for each case (18 NPV in total), then draw a graph with three lines (one for unit sales, one for salvage value, and one for WACC). At the end, perform a sensitivity analysis for the project (what you have seen, what conclusions you can make?). 3. What is the primary weakness of sensitvity analysis? What are its primary advantages?