Bloom's Jeans is searching for new​ suppliers, and Debbie​ Bloom, the​ owner, has narrowed her choices to two sets. Debbie is very concerned about supply​ disruptions, so she has chosen to use three suppliers no matter what. For option​ 1, the suppliers are​ well-established and located in the same country. Debbie calculates the​ "unique-event" risk for each of them to be 5​%. She estimates the probability of a nationwide event that would knock out all three suppliers to be 2.3​%. For option​ 2, the suppliers are newer but located in three different countries. Debbie calculates the​ "unique-event" risk for each of them to be 19​%. She estimates the​ "super-event" probability that would knock out all three of these suppliers to be 0.3​%. Purchasing and transportation costs would be ​$1,050,000 per year using option 1 and ​$1,060,000 per year using option 2. A total disruption would create an annualized loss of ​$550,000. Part 2 ​a) The probability that all three suppliers will be disrupted using option 1 is _________ ​(round your response to five decimal​ places). Part 3 ​b) The probability that all three suppliers will be disrupted using option 2 is ________ ​(round your response to five decimal​ places). Part 4 ​c) The total annual purchasing and transportation cost plus expected annualized disruption cost for option 1 is ​$_______ ​(round your response to the nearest whole​ number). Part 5 ​d) The total annual purchasing and transportation cost plus expected annualized disruption cost for option 2 is ​$______ ​(round your response to the nearest whole​ number). Part 6 ​e) Based on the total annual purchasing and transportation cost plus expected annualized disruption​ cost, ▼   option 1 option 2 seems best.

Purchasing and Supply Chain Management
6th Edition
ISBN:9781285869681
Author:Robert M. Monczka, Robert B. Handfield, Larry C. Giunipero, James L. Patterson
Publisher:Robert M. Monczka, Robert B. Handfield, Larry C. Giunipero, James L. Patterson
ChapterC: Cases
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 5.3SD: Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling...
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​Bloom's Jeans is searching for new​ suppliers, and Debbie​ Bloom, the​ owner, has narrowed her choices to two sets. Debbie is very concerned about supply​ disruptions, so she has chosen to use three suppliers no matter what. For option​ 1, the suppliers are​ well-established and located in the same country. Debbie calculates the​ "unique-event" risk for each of them to be
5​%.
She estimates the probability of a nationwide event that would knock out all three suppliers to be
2.3​%.
For option​ 2, the suppliers are newer but located in three different countries. Debbie calculates the​ "unique-event" risk for each of them to be
19​%.
She estimates the​ "super-event" probability that would knock out all three of these suppliers to be
0.3​%.
Purchasing and transportation costs would be
​$1,050,000
per year using option 1 and
​$1,060,000
per year using option 2. A total disruption would create an annualized loss of
​$550,000.
Part 2
​a) The probability that all three suppliers will be disrupted using option 1 is
_________
​(round your response to five decimal​ places).
Part 3
​b) The probability that all three suppliers will be disrupted using option 2 is
________
​(round your response to five decimal​ places).
Part 4
​c) The total annual purchasing and transportation cost plus expected annualized disruption cost for option 1 is
​$_______
​(round your response to the nearest whole​ number).
Part 5
​d) The total annual purchasing and transportation cost plus expected annualized disruption cost for option 2 is
​$______
​(round your response to the nearest whole​ number).
Part 6
​e) Based on the total annual purchasing and transportation cost plus expected annualized disruption​ cost,
 
option 1
option 2
seems best.
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