Compute MAD for each set of forecasts. Given your results, which forecast appears to be more accurate? (Round your answers to 1 decimal place.)             b. Compute the MSE for each set of forecasts. Given your results, which forecast appears to be more accurate? (Round your answers to 2 decimal places.)             c. In practice, either MAD or MSE would be employed to compute forecast errors. What factors might lead a manager to choose one rather than the other?

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models
Section13.7: Exponential Smoothing Models
Problem 29P: The file P13_29.xlsx contains monthly time series data for total U.S. retail sales of building...
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Two different forecasting techniques (F1 and F2) were used to forecast demand for cases of bottled water. Actual demand and the two sets of forecasts are as follows:
 

   

PREDICTED DEMAND

Period Demand F1 F2
1 68 66 66
2 75 68 68
3 70 72 70
4 74 71 72
5 69 72 74
6 72 70 76
7 80 71 78
8 78 74 80
 

 

Click here for the Excel Data File

 

Compute MAD for each set of forecasts. Given your results, which forecast appears to be more accurate? (Round your answers to 1 decimal place.)
 

 

 

 

 


 
b. Compute the MSE for each set of forecasts. Given your results, which forecast appears to be more accurate? (Round your answers to 2 decimal places.)
 

 

 


 

 


 
c. In practice, either MAD or MSE would be employed to compute forecast errors. What factors might lead a manager to choose one rather than the other?

 


 
d. Compute MAPE for each data set. Which forecast appears to be more accurate? (Round your intermediate calculations and final answers to 2 decimal places.)
 

 

 


 

 
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