Discuss how you would manage a poor forecast.
Q: How do exponential smoothing advantages have over moving averages as a forecasting tool?
A: The advantages of exponential smoothing as a forecasting method over operating averages are as…
Q: Use a three-period weighted-moving average forecast to determine a forecast for the 8th week using…
A: THE ANSWER IS AS BELOW:
Q: Calculate the simple 3-month moving average forecast for December - March
A: Given data is
Q: snip
A: Answer: It is important to measure the accuracy of forecasts, for any forecasting technique and…
Q: Does a correct forecast prove that your forecast method was correct? Why or why not?
A: Forecasting is important as it helps a business in setting the correct level of inventory, set the…
Q: Explain what happens to the ability to forecast for epriods farther into the future
A: The forecast is a strategy used to produce informed projections on the prospects for future trends…
Q: Explain when to use of a time series forecasting techniques and what assumption are made ?
A: The statistical procedures perform statistical analysis on historical data to forecast the…
Q: What type of forecast model would be most appropriate for a company that was introducing a new…
A: Forecast model:A forecast model is a mathematical model used to forecast future demand for a…
Q: Explain what is seasonality and how forecast is done using data that has seasonality
A: In time series analysis, seasonalities are regarded as repeated up / down cyclic patterns in serial…
Q: Who needs to be involved in preparing forecasts?
A: The manager ultimately has the key responsibility to prepare the forecast. An organization should…
Q: It is a common saying that the only thing certain about a forecast is that it will be wrong. What is…
A: Forecasting is the process of predicting future demand values based on historical data. The…
Q: Describe the different forecasting methods and provide an example of when each is most applicable.
A: Below is the solution:-
Q: What are ways of managing a poor forecast?
A: A bad forecast presupposes that there has been a mismatch between the demand and supply as a result…
Q: Explain what are the use of a time series forecasting and discuss what assumption are made ?
A: Globalization is the process of bringing together individuals, businesses, and governments on a…
Q: ind Naïve Forecast, Moving Average and Weighted Average based on the data given at the below table.…
A: In the question, we have monthly data for the year 2018, I would apply forecasting techniques to get…
Q: What advantages as a forecasting tool does exponential smoothing have over moving averages?
A: A moving average forecast method takes into account instead of the last actual data, a number of…
Q: How do you make a lost-horse forecast?
A: Sales forecasting is a technique to estimate future sales which allows the companies to take more…
Q: Explain what ex-post and ex-ante forecasts are, and how one can evaluate the accuracy of forecast of…
A: Ex Post Forecast, Ex Ante Forecast Ex post is forecasting using data that has been collected after…
Q: What is meant by the term tracking the forecast? In which two ways can forecasts go wrong?
A: Tracking the forecast means comparing the actual demand with the forecasted demand. It is used to…
Q: When a new business is started, or a patent idea needs funding, venture capitalists or investment…
A: Business Forecasting is important for both startups as well as existing businesses. The new age…
Q: What are some of the consequences of poor forecasts? Explain.
A: The Consequences of the poor forecast are:
Q: How are you going to make your forecast more effective? Give a concrete example.
A: Forecasting is a decision-making tool used by many businesses to help in budgeting, planning, and…
Q: What is forecast accuracy and what are the different methods to check it?
A: Forecast Accuracy is basically how accurately the predicted value matches the actual value. In…
Q: What is the term for forecasts used for making day-to-day decisions about meeting demand?
A: Forecasting is a technique used to predict future events using quantitative and qualitative methods…
Q: Explain what is an accurate forecast?
A: Making is the act of selecting a course of action from a reservoir of thoughts or ideas available to…
Q: Types of Forecasts that might be needed in IKEA
A: Let’s first understand the meaning of Forecasting and types of Forecasting. Forecasting can be…
Q: our manager is trying to determine what forecasting method to use. Based upon the following…
A: first we put the value on excel sheet then applying weighted moving average formula which shown in…
Q: What are the issues associated with qualitative forecasting, and how are these overcome? Provide…
A: Qualitative forecasting is a strategy for making forecasts about an organization's funds that…
Q: Describe when to use of a time series forecasting techniques and what assumption are made?
A: Statistical approaches are used to forecast variables by analysing historical data. Forecasts are…
Q: Explain the Principles for the Forecasting Process?
A: There are many forecasting models and they differ in degree of complexity and amount of the data…
Q: mon forecasting techniques.
A: It is possible to describe forecasting as a method of making predictions about the future based on…
Q: A time-series trend equation is 25.3 + 21x. What is your forecast for period 7? A. 32.3 B.…
A: Forecasting is the process in which future demand is determined by estimation using previous data or…
Q: Discuss what happens to the ability to forecast for period farther into the future?
A: Forecasting is a technique for generating precise forecasts of future trends based on historical…
Q: Explain FORECAST ACCURACY?
A: Forecasting is the process of estimating future demand using the present and past data. The demand…
Q: List the analytical tools and methods used in forecasting?
A: Forecasting is the process of making assumptions of the future on the basis of past and present data…
Q: Discuss the techniques of forecasting and its types. Also explain the limitations of each technique?
A: Forecasting - The process which is related with making the predictions for the future and the basis…
Q: From the choice of simple moving average, weighted moving average, exponential smoothing, and linear…
A: Forecasting is the process of making assumptions of future events based on past and present…
Q: Explain the six steps involved in a typical forecasting procedure.
A: Forecasting is a technique that enables the creation of informed forecasts by utilising previous…
Q: Write from your understanding the meaning of forecasting, forecasting time horizons, Seven Steps in…
A: Forecasting is a procedure that utilizations verifiable information as contributions to make…
Q: Which forecasting technique can place the most emphasis on recent values? How does it do this?
A: The forecasting technique that can place the most emphasis on recent values is exponential smoothing…
Q: Explain when is time series forecasting used ?
A: Forecasting is the process of predicting future events based on previous data and information.
Q: Explain and give an example of a weighted average in forecasting
A: A Weighted Moving Average puts more weight on late information and less on past information. This is…
Q: Discuss what advantages as a forecasting tool does exponential smoothing have over moving averages?
A: In today's environment, when events change often, the exponential smoothing method is optimal.…
Discuss how you would manage a poor
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- Under what conditions might a firm use multiple forecasting methods?Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. Is Ben Gibson acting legally? Is he acting ethically? Why or why not?Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. As the Marketing Manager for Southeastern Corrugated, what would you do upon receiving the request for quotation from Coastal Products?
- Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. Ethical decisions that affect a buyers ethical perspective usually involve the organizational environment, cultural environment, personal environment, and industry environment. Analyze this scenario using these four variables.Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What should Sharon do in this situation?Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What does the Institute of Supply Management code of ethics say about financial conflicts of interest?