What advantages as a forecasting tool does exponential smoothing have over moving averages?
Q: How do exponential smoothing advantages have over moving averages as a forecasting tool?
A: The advantages of exponential smoothing as a forecasting method over operating averages are as…
Q: involve
A: The answer to this question is true.
Q: Discuss when to use a time series forecasting techniques ?
A: Historical data, and hence projected variables, are subjected to statistical analysis. The…
Q: Explain the benefits does exponential smoothing have over moving avarages as a forecasting tool ?
A: While in Moving Averages the previous perceptions are weighted similarly, Exponential Smoothing…
Q: When to use of a time series forecasting technique, what assumptions are made?
A: The statistic techniques uses statistic on historical data and therefore the variables forecasted.…
Q: Explain why forecasting devices such as moving averages, weighted moving averages, and exponential…
A: The average is going The prediction is increased and n is flat, but less susceptible. It provides an…
Q: What are the similarities and differences between ridge regression and forecasting?
A: A Small Introduction about Regression Regression analysis is used to predict a continuous dependent…
Q: What are the benefits of exponential smoothing over moving average forecasting?
A: The following are the advantages of exponential smoothing over moving averages as a forecasting…
Q: What advantages does exponential smoothing have over movingcaverages as a forecasting tool?
A: The following are the benefits of exponential smoothing as a forecasting tool over moving averages.…
Q: State when is the time series forecasting is used ?
A: Forecasting is a process that utilizes historical information and reports to forecast future events.
Q: Describe the different forecasting methods and provide an example of when each is most applicable.
A: Below is the solution:-
Q: When should time series forecasting techniques be used?
A: The statistical data and, as a consequence, the projected features are analyzed using statistical…
Q: Why is forecasting necessary in OSCM?
A: Forecasting is the method of making future forecasts based on historical and current evidence. It's…
Q: What forecasting methods should the company consider? Please justify.
A: Forecasting is a prediction method that can use historical data and current market trends and…
Q: Explain what are the benefits of exponential smoothing over moving average forecasting
A: The table below gives a prediction of the advantages of moving average over exponential smoothing.
Q: Explain what ex-post and ex-ante forecasts are, and how one can evaluate the accuracy of forecast of…
A: Ex Post Forecast, Ex Ante Forecast Ex post is forecasting using data that has been collected after…
Q: How do we measure accuracy of a forecasting model?
A: Step1:Forecasting models are tried and tested frameworks of historical data which helps in…
Q: Why is accurate forecasting so important to companies thatuse a continuous replenishment inventory…
A: Continuous Replenishment is a method by which a supplier is told day by day of real deals or…
Q: Explain how can does the number of periods in a moving average affect the responsiveness of the…
A: Moving Average (MA) forecasting calculates the average over a certain number of periods in order to…
Q: what are the benefits of exponential smoothing forecasting?
A: Forecasting is the process of prediction in which sales demand is estimated using historic…
Q: What benefits does exponential smoothing have over moving averages as a forecasting tool?
A: As a forecasting function, exponential smoothing has the following benefits over running averages:…
Q: What forecasting technique makes use of written surveys or telephone interviews?
A: Ans- Forecasting is the process of making assumptions of the future on the basis of past and present…
Q: State the assumptions made when using a time series forecasting techniques
A: Numerous estimates are taken in statistical analysis.
Q: Explain the term forecasting with least squares
A: Forecasting is a way of making a broader basis about the coming supported by facts. It can be used…
Q: No singal forecast methodology is appropriate under all conditions: True or false?
A: Forecasting is a method that utilizes authentic information as contributions to make educated…
Q: How has the technology had an impact on forecasting?
A: Technology plays an important role in forecasting and has the ability to have a huge impact. We will…
Q: snip
A: The quantitative forecasting techniques require the past relevant data, the absence of this makes…
Q: exponential smoothing superior to moving averages
A: Remarkable smoothing is a general guideline method for smoothing time arrangement information…
Q: Discuss the strategic importance of forecasting. What strategic decisions do organizations need to…
A: There is a huge competition between all the organizations these days to excel themselves in their…
Q: Explain how do exponential smoothing have benefits over shifting averages as forecasting tool
A: The merits of autoregressive moving as a prediction approach are considerable in comparison to…
Q: What effect does the number of cycles in a moving average have on the forecast's responsiveness?
A: In order to estimate potential demand, the Moving Average (MA) projection method uses the MA formula…
Q: Explain why is accurate forecasting so important to companies that use a continuous replenishment…
A: Forecasting is the practice of making future assumptions based on historical and current data, most…
Q: Define and explain the forecasting technique which places more emphasis on recent values and explain…
A: Forecasting is the process of prediction in which sales demand is estimated using historic…
Q: Discuss the techniques of forecasting and its types. Also explain the limitations of each technique?
A: Forecasting - The process which is related with making the predictions for the future and the basis…
Q: What is seasonality?How do we forecast using data that has seasonality?
A: Seasonality in time series data is the occurrence of repetitive up and down cycles in series values…
Q: From the choice of simple moving average, weighted moving average, exponential smoothing, and linear…
A: Forecasting is the process of making assumptions of future events based on past and present…
Q: Forecasting is critical in modern times. Business organizations manifested more concern with…
A: It is at the national, industry, and firm levels that business forecasting takes place. Forecasts…
Q: Which forecasting technique can place the most emphasis on recent values? How does it do this?
A: The forecasting technique that can place the most emphasis on recent values is exponential smoothing…
Q: How many steps are there in collaborative planning, forecasting, and replenishment (CPFR)?
A: There are 9 steps in collaborative planning, forecasting, and replenishment (CPFR). They are:
Q: Explain the advantages of forecasting tool does exponential smoothing over moving avarages ?
A: The key benefits of exponential smoothing versus moving averages as a forecast.
Q: State and describe the forecasting technique which places more emphasis on recent values and explain…
A: To be determined: the forecasting technique which places more emphasis on recent values and explains…
Q: Explain and give an example of a weighted average in forecasting
A: A Weighted Moving Average puts more weight on late information and less on past information. This is…
Q: Explain how the technology of forecasting can be improved
A: Forecasting is a long-term and short-term activity that the company engages in on a regular basis.…
Q: Discuss what is seasonality and how forecast is done using data that has seasonality?
A: Time series analysis describes seasonal patterns as recurrent upward and downward cyclic patterns in…
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- Under what conditions might a firm use multiple forecasting methods?Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. Is Ben Gibson acting legally? Is he acting ethically? Why or why not?Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. As the Marketing Manager for Southeastern Corrugated, what would you do upon receiving the request for quotation from Coastal Products?
- The Baker Company wants to develop a budget to predict how overhead costs vary with activity levels. Management is trying to decide whether direct labor hours (DLH) or units produced is the better measure of activity for the firm. Monthly data for the preceding 24 months appear in the file P13_40.xlsx. Use regression analysis to determine which measure, DLH or Units (or both), should be used for the budget. How would the regression equation be used to obtain the budget for the firms overhead costs?Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. Ethical decisions that affect a buyers ethical perspective usually involve the organizational environment, cultural environment, personal environment, and industry environment. Analyze this scenario using these four variables.Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What should Sharon do in this situation?
- Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What does the Institute of Supply Management code of ethics say about financial conflicts of interest?The file P13_42.xlsx contains monthly data on consumer revolving credit (in millions of dollars) through credit unions. a. Use these data to forecast consumer revolving credit through credit unions for the next 12 months. Do it in two ways. First, fit an exponential trend to the series. Second, use Holts method with optimized smoothing constants. b. Which of these two methods appears to provide the best forecasts? Answer by comparing their MAPE values.The owner of a restaurant in Bloomington, Indiana, has recorded sales data for the past 19 years. He has also recorded data on potentially relevant variables. The data are listed in the file P13_17.xlsx. a. Estimate a simple regression equation involving annual sales (the dependent variable) and the size of the population residing within 10 miles of the restaurant (the explanatory variable). Interpret R-square for this regression. b. Add another explanatory variableannual advertising expendituresto the regression equation in part a. Estimate and interpret this expanded equation. How does the R-square value for this multiple regression equation compare to that of the simple regression equation estimated in part a? Explain any difference between the two R-square values. How can you use the adjusted R-squares for a comparison of the two equations? c. Add one more explanatory variable to the multiple regression equation estimated in part b. In particular, estimate and interpret the coefficients of a multiple regression equation that includes the previous years advertising expenditure. How does the inclusion of this third explanatory variable affect the R-square, compared to the corresponding values for the equation of part b? Explain any changes in this value. What does the adjusted R-square for the new equation tell you?