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College Algebra
7th Edition
ISBN:9781305115545
Author:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem Watson
Publisher:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem Watson
Chapter9: Counting And Probability
Section9.4: Expected Value
Problem 1E: If a game gives payoffs of $10 and $100 with probabilities 0.9 and 0.1, respectively, then the...
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Suppose that we are considering the investment project which requires an initial investment
outflow of $345. Given a resulting cash flows of $600, $300 and -$150 in year 1. In year 2, each branch
will produce three possible outcomes as shown in the table below. The risk-free rate of return is 7.5%.
Calculate the Expected Net Present Value (NPV), Variance and Standard Deviation of this investment
project by using probability tree approach.
YEAR 1
YEAR 2
Initial
Net Cash
Conditional
Net Cash Flow
Branch
Probability
P(1)
Flow
Probability P
(2/1)
0.20
$700
1
0.30
$600
0.40
$200
$500
0.40
0.30
-$100
4
0.50
$300
0.30
$300
0.40
$500
0.30
-$400
0.20
-$150
0.20
-$100
0.50
$200
6.
23
647989
Transcribed Image Text:Suppose that we are considering the investment project which requires an initial investment outflow of $345. Given a resulting cash flows of $600, $300 and -$150 in year 1. In year 2, each branch will produce three possible outcomes as shown in the table below. The risk-free rate of return is 7.5%. Calculate the Expected Net Present Value (NPV), Variance and Standard Deviation of this investment project by using probability tree approach. YEAR 1 YEAR 2 Initial Net Cash Conditional Net Cash Flow Branch Probability P(1) Flow Probability P (2/1) 0.20 $700 1 0.30 $600 0.40 $200 $500 0.40 0.30 -$100 4 0.50 $300 0.30 $300 0.40 $500 0.30 -$400 0.20 -$150 0.20 -$100 0.50 $200 6. 23 647989
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