ector of career advising at Orange Community College wants to use s to provide information to help students decide which 2-year degree ould pursue. The director has set up the following payoff table for s opular and successful degree programs at OCC that shows the estimate ncome ($) from each degree for four future economic conditions: Economic Conditions
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- Sharp Outfits is trying to decide whether to ship some customer orders now via UPS or wait until after the threat of another UPS strike is over. If Sharp Outfits decides to ship the requested merchandise now andthe UPS strike takes place, the company will incur $60,000 in delay and shipping costs. If Sharp Outfits decides to ship the customer orders via UPS and no strike occurs, the company will incur $4000 in ship-ping costs. If Sharp Outfits decides to postpone shipping its customer orders via UPS, the company will incur $10,000 in delay costs regardless of whether UPS goes on strike. Let p represent the probabilitythat UPS will go on strike and impact Sharp Outfits’s shipments.a. For which values of p, if any, does Sharp Outfits minimize its expected total cost by choosing to postpone shipping its customer orders via UPS? b. Suppose now that, at a cost of $1000, Sharp Outfits can purchase information regarding the likelihood of a UPS strike in the near future. Based on similar…Data on the 4000 largest mutual funds shows which funds provided a high 5-year return and a high 10-year return. Of the 4000 mutualfunds surveyed, 3000 funds had a high 5-year return, 2000 had a high 10-yearreturn, and 1500 had both a high 5-year return and a high 10-year return Given that a mutual fund had a high 5-year return, what is theprobability of a mutual fund having a high 10-year return?The following payoff table shows profit for a decision analysis problem with two decision alternatives and three states of nature.
- Dave Fletcher, the general manager of North Carolina Engineering Corporation (NCEC), thinks that his firm’s engineer-ing services contracted to highway construction firms are directly related to the volume of highway construction business contractedwith companies in his geographic area. He wonders if this is reallyso, and if it is, can this information help him plan his operationsbetter by forecasting the quantity of his engineering servicesrequired by construction firms in each quarter of the year? Thefollowing table presents the sales of his services and total amountsof contracts for highway construction over the past eight quarters: a) Using this data, develop a regression equation for predictingthe level of demand of NCEC’s services. b) Determine the coefficient of correlation and the standard errorof the estimate.ABC enters into a contract to help DEF, a ramen restaurantto design a market strategy to compete with DEF. The contract spans twelve month. DEF will pay P80,000 at the beginning of each month. At the end of the contract, ABC either will give DEF a refund of P25,000 or will be entitled to an additional P15,000 bonus, depending on whether sales at DEF at year- end increased to a target level. At the inception of the contract , ABC estimates a 30% chance that it will not earn the bonus and calculates the contract price based on the expected value of future payments to be received. At the start of the fifth month, circumstances change and ABC revise the probability that it will earn the bonus to 80% What is the adjustment to the service revenue ?A real estate investor has the opportunity to purchase land currently zoned as residential. If the county board approves a request to rezone the property as commercial within the next year, the investor will be able to lease the land to a large discount firm that wants to open a new store on the property. However, if the zoning change is not approved, the investor will have to sell the property at a loss. Profits (in thousands of dollars) are shown in the following payoff table: State of Nature Rezoning Approved Rezoning Not Approved Decision Alternative s1 s2 Purchase, d1 590 -160 Do not purchase, d2 0 0 (a) If the probability that the rezoning will be approved is 0.5, what decision is recommended? Recommended Decision: What is the expected profit? Enter your answer in thousands dollars. For example, an answer of $200 thousands should be entered as 200,000. $ (b) The investor can purchase an option to buy the land. Under the…
- A real estate investor has the opportunity to purchase land currently zoned as residential. If the county board approves a request to rezone the property as commercial within the next year, the investor will be able to lease the land to a large discount firm that wants to open a new store on the property. However, if the zoning change is not approved, the investor will have to sell the property at a loss. Profits (in thousands of dollars) are shown in the following payoff table: State of Nature Rezoning Approved Rezoning Not Approved Decision Alternative s1 s2 Purchase, d1 610 -190 Do not purchase, d2 0 0 (a) If the probability that the rezoning will be approved is 0.5, what decision is recommended? Recommended Decision: What is the expected profit? Enter your answer in dollars. For example, an answer of $200 thousands should be entered as 200,000. $ (b) The investor can purchase an option to buy the land. Under the option, the…The government is attempting to determine whetherimmigrants should be tested for a contagious disease. Let’sassume that the decision will be made on a financial basis.Assume that each immigrant who is allowed into the countryand has the disease costs the United States $100,000, andeach immigrant who enters and does not have the diseasewill contribute $10,000 to the national economy. Assumethat 10% of all potential immigrants have the disease. Thegovernment may admit all immigrants, admit no immigrants,or test immigrants for the disease before determiningwhether they should be admitted. It costs $100 to test aperson for the disease; the test result is either positive ornegative. If the test result is positive, the person definitelyhas the disease. However, 20% of all people who do havethe disease test negative. A person who does not have thedisease always tests negative. The government’s goal is tomaximize (per potential immigrant) expected benefits minusexpected costs. Use a decision…At the Acme Cement Company, employeescontribute to a welfare fund at the rate of 4% ofthe first $1000 earned, 3% of the next $1000,2% of the next $1000, and 1% of any additionalincome. What will Mr. Morris contribute in ayear in which he earns $20,000?
- Bruce had a disagreement with a new federal agency set up to give additional funds for college to individuals with an aptitude for math. After a hearing, the agency determined that Bruce had no aptitude for math and that he would not receive any funding. Bruce, however, was not discouraged. He told his friend Laura, who just graduated from law school, that he would simply appeal the decision to federal court, have the judge do a fresh review, and provide additional information to the judge regarding his math aptitude that the agency did not have. He feels certain that he will win at the federal court level. Assuming the decision by the administrative agency was a factual finding, what should Laura tell Bruce regarding the standard of review the administrative agency will likely apply?That the agency will likely apply a de novo, or new, review.That the agency will likely apply an arbitrary and capricious standard in any review.That the agency will likely apply a substantial evidence…The National Highway Association is studying the relationship between thenumberof bidders on a highway project and the winning (lowest) bid for the project. Ofparticular interest is whether the number of bidders increases or decreases the amountof the winning bid.A multinational corporation is considering starting a subsidiary in an Asiancountry. Management realizes that the success of the new subsidiary depends, in part,on the ensuing political climate in the target country. Management estimates that theprobability of success (in terms of resulting revenues of the subsidiary during its firstyear of operation) is 0.55 if the prevailing political situation is favorable, 0.30 if thepolitical situation is neutral, and 0.10 if the political situation during the year is unfavorable. Management further believes that the probabilities of favorable, neutral, andunfavorable political situations are 0.6, 0.2, and 0.2, respectively. What is the successprobability of the new subsidiary?