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elicited the opinion of a number of experts about the change in the equilibrium temperature of the earth if the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere doubles (i.e., you asked them what they think the climate sensitivity parameter [CSP] is, using the second definition of the CSP). These are their answers Expert from NOAA: 3.0 Expert from OECD: 3.0 Expert from OPEC: 1.9 Expert from WHO: 3.2 FUND modelers: 1.7 i) Build a simple histogram like the one we did in class for these data, using the objective probabilities. ii) Compute the mean CSP and the variance of CSP. iii) Do your own subjective probability distribution and draw it

elicited the opinion of a number of experts about the change in the equilibrium temperature of the earth if the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere doubles (i.e., you asked them what they think the climate sensitivity parameter [CSP] is, using the second definition of the CSP). These are their answers Expert from NOAA: 3.0 Expert from OECD: 3.0 Expert from OPEC: 1.9 Expert from WHO: 3.2 FUND modelers: 1.7 i) Build a simple histogram like the one we did in class for these data, using the objective probabilities. ii) Compute the mean CSP and the variance of CSP. iii) Do your own subjective probability distribution and draw it

Algebra & Trigonometry with Analytic Geometry
Algebra & Trigonometry with Analytic Geometry
13th Edition
ISBN:9781133382119
Author:Swokowski
Publisher:Swokowski
Chapter5: Inverse, Exponential, And Logarithmic Functions
Section5.6: Exponential And Logarithmic Equations
Problem 64E
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You work for the US EPA and have elicited the opinion of a number of experts about the change in the equilibrium temperature of the earth if the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere doubles (i.e., you asked them what they think the climate sensitivity parameter [CSP] is, using the second definition of the CSP). These are their answers Expert from NOAA: 3.0 Expert from OECD: 3.0 Expert from OPEC: 1.9 Expert from WHO: 3.2 FUND modelers: 1.7 i) Build a simple histogram like the one we did in class for these data, using the objective probabilities. ii) Compute the mean CSP and the variance of CSP. iii) Do your own subjective probability distribution and draw it.
Transcribed Image Text:You work for the US EPA and have elicited the opinion of a number of experts about the change in the equilibrium temperature of the earth if the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere doubles (i.e., you asked them what they think the climate sensitivity parameter [CSP] is, using the second definition of the CSP). These are their answers Expert from NOAA: 3.0 Expert from OECD: 3.0 Expert from OPEC: 1.9 Expert from WHO: 3.2 FUND modelers: 1.7 i) Build a simple histogram like the one we did in class for these data, using the objective probabilities. ii) Compute the mean CSP and the variance of CSP. iii) Do your own subjective probability distribution and draw it.
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