Evaluate demand using quantitative forecasting models.
Q: Discuss components of forecasting demand?
A: Forecasting is the process of making predictions using historical and present data, as well as trend…
Q: Given the following data, use exponential smoothing(a = 0.2) to develop a demand forecast. Assume…
A: Given data Exponential smoothing (a) or α= 0.2 Initial time period (F1) = 5 To develop the demand…
Q: Briefly discuss how the forecast methods be applied in operations.
A: Forecasting refers to the process of making predictions for the future using past and present data.…
Q: Explain the word "false" for a successful forecast?
A: A difference between real and forecasted values is referred to as "fake" in forecasting strategies.…
Q: Explain what benefits as a forecasting tool does exponential smoothing have over moving averages?
A: In today's environment, when events change frequently, the exponential smoothing method is superior.…
Q: The historical data for 4 periods demand are 65, 60, 80, and 70 respectively. Calculate the weighted…
A: The answers would be as follows:
Q: (a) Compute a weighted average forecast for the data listed below using a weight of 0.40 for the…
A:
Q: No single forecast methodology is appropriate under all conditions True or false?
A: Answer: What is Forecasting: Forecasting is an attempt to predict future events which will be used…
Q: Given the following demand data, Period Demand 57 1 2 55 3 59 4 56 5 60 a. Compute a weighted…
A: Forecasting is the process of estimation in which future demand is determined using the previous and…
Q: Given the following history, use a three-quarter moving average to forecast the demand for the third…
A: Sum of the Last Quarter = 200+260+260 = 720 Sum of Second last quarter = 165+200+175 = 540 Sum of…
Q: Why is reliable forecasting so important for businesses using a continuous replenishment inventory…
A: Continuous Replenishment is a method in which a supplier receives regular updates on real-time sales…
Q: Explain quantitative forecast methods?
A: The quantitative method of forecasting uses numerical and prior effects to predict the possible…
Q: Although a demand forecast is usually not accurate, managers must forecast demand. In this context…
A: The answer is as below:
Q: Three months ago Two months ago Last month 400 units 350 units 320 units a. Using a simple…
A: Exponential smoothing is a forecast method based on time series with focus on uni-variate data.…
Q: Consider the following information: Year Quarter Actual Sales (000) 2018 1 20 2 15…
A: The trend projection method depends with the understanding that the elements obligated for the…
Q: When forecasting demand for new products, sometimes firms will use demand data from similar existing…
A: When forecasting demand for new products, sometimes firms will use demand data from similar existing…
Q: 3. You are using a 3 period moving average to calculate your forecast. Demand for period 1 was 90…
A: Given information:Demand period 1=90unitsDemand period 2=80unitsDemand period4=90unitsHere we have…
Q: Compute the weighted average forecast using the following weights: 0.20, 0.30, 0.10, and 0.40
A:
Q: Develop an appropriate forecast model for bookstoremanagement to use to forecast computer demand for…
A: Forecasting is an indispensable method of managing sales by evaluating the future demand for…
Q: Provide an example of a Qualitative forecast in air cargo or other industry
A: Qualitative forecast methods are mostly based on opinion and judgment. This type of approach will be…
Q: Why is accurate forecasting so important to companies thatuse a continuous replenishment inventory…
A: Continuous Replenishment is a method by which a supplier is told day by day of real deals or…
Q: How can the Forecast technique be improved?
A: Forecasting is a tool or technique which is used to predict future demand, risk and to analyze the…
Q: 2.1 Forecasting plays an important role in logistics planning, differentiate between quantitative…
A: Note - Hi! Thank you for the question As per the honour code, We’ll answer the first question since…
Q: Give examples of industries in which demand forecastingis dependent on the demand for other…
A: Demanding forecasting estimates future demand based on historical data, trends, seasonality, and…
Q: Make a forecast of the demand for the month of January and February
A: Forecasting: Forecasting is a process of predicting data or demand for upcoming week, month or year…
Q: Forecast Including TrendAssume a previous forecast, including a trend of 110 units, a previous trend…
A: Given Information: Forecast including trend = 110 units Previous trend estimate = 10 units Alpha =…
Q: What effect has improved forecasting had on inventory and capital requirements?
A: Forecasting is a strategy in which a company makes preparations based on previous and historical…
Q: Discuss the importance of accurate forecasts in supply chain management.
A: Forecasting refers to predicting the future to be ensured about the problems or the mistakes that…
Q: How has the development of the Internet affected the way companies forecast in support of their…
A: Before the advent of the internet, all the forecasts related to supply chain planning were done…
Q: Plot these forecasts AND the original demand data on graph paper or spreadsheet. Use a key to…
A: Find the given details below: Given details: Period Original Demand 3 Months Moving average 5…
Q: Apply collaborative techniques to forecast demand.
A: Collaborative forecasting is the process for collecting and reuniting the information from different…
Q: Explain FORECAST ACCURACY?
A: Forecasting is the process of estimating future demand using the present and past data. The demand…
Q: With the aid of practical examples demonstrate how qualitative, time-series, and causal forecasts…
A: A Small Introduction to Forecast Demand Request anticipating is the most common way of utilizing…
Q: Explain why is accurate forecasting so important to companies that use a continuous replenishment…
A: Forecasting is the practice of making future assumptions based on historical and current data, most…
Q: Summarize forecast errors and use summaries to make decisions.
A: The accuracy of a forecast is an important factor when there is an option to decided among various…
Q: Prepare a Demand Forecast for “Year 5” using Excel.
A: The provided quarterly data for year 5 can be predicted in excel as follows: 1- In a worksheet, the…
Q: How do exponential smoothing have benefits over shifting.averages as a forecasting tool?
A: The benefits of exponential smoothing are as a prediction tool compared to moving averages.
Q: Matrix uses simple exponential smoothing with S.F = 0.6 to forecast demand. The forecast for the…
A: Below is the solution:-
Q: Discuss how flexibility in production systems relates to the forecast horizon and forecast accuracy?
A: To understand the concept of a flexible production system, investigate how flexibility can be used…
Q: Provide an example of a Quantitative forecast in air cargo or other industry
A: Cargo forecasts are generally tackled as part of an airport's master planning activity, as part of…
Q: Explain how flexibility in production systems relates to the forecast horizon and forecast accuracy.
A: Forecasting is predicting business and the Forecast accuracy is how close the business happened as…
Q: Not all the items in your office supply store are evenly distributed as far as demand is concerned,…
A: Given- Week Demand Week 1 250 Week 2 350 Week 3 550 Week 4 650
Q: Discuss what is seasonality and how forecast is done using data that has seasonality?
A: Time series analysis describes seasonal patterns as recurrent upward and downward cyclic patterns in…
Evaluate demand using quantitative |
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- Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. Is Ben Gibson acting legally? Is he acting ethically? Why or why not?Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. As the Marketing Manager for Southeastern Corrugated, what would you do upon receiving the request for quotation from Coastal Products?Under what conditions might a firm use multiple forecasting methods?
- Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. Ethical decisions that affect a buyers ethical perspective usually involve the organizational environment, cultural environment, personal environment, and industry environment. Analyze this scenario using these four variables.Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What should Sharon do in this situation?Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What does the Institute of Supply Management code of ethics say about financial conflicts of interest?